FPL Gameweek 7 projections & best XI.
Provisional · locks at the GW7 deadline, Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Metis projects 70.4 points for its Fantasy 11 in Gameweek 7 (3-4-3, £100.0m squad), captained by Haaland.
Best captain pick: Haaland at 18.3 captain EV, ahead of Tavernier (14.3).
Haaland leads the 320-player pool on 9.2 xPts across 10 Premier League fixtures.
Gameweek 7
Best legal squad, rebuilt from scratch
Metis Fantasy 11 — Gameweek 7
C captain · V vice captain · projected points before captain doubling
Projected XI points
70.4
captain doubled
Captain
Haaland
vice · Tavernier
Squad cost
£100.0m
15-man squad · 3-4-3
Armband
Captain picks — Gameweek 7
| # | Player | Capt EV | Floor | Ceiling | Start% | Haul% | Blank% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDHaalandMCI | 18.3 | 2 | 17 | 96% | 41% | 28% |
| 2 | MIDTavernierBOU | 14.3 | 1 | 15 | 95% | 31% | 33% |
| 3 | MIDSakaARS | 12.3 | 1 | 14 | 94% | 26% | 33% |
| 4 | MIDCherkiMCI | 12.2 | 1 | 15 | 81% | 24% | 36% |
| 5 | FWDWissaNEW | 12.0 | 1 | 13 | 93% | 21% | 49% |
This gameweek
Highest xPts, differentials, value, ceilings, floors, blank risk
Ranking
Top 20 projected players — Gameweek 7
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Ceiling | Haul% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDHaalandMCI | 9.2 | £15.6m | 75% | 96% | 17 | 41% |
| 2 | MIDTavernierBOU | 7.2 | £6.1m | 7% | 95% | 15 | 31% |
| 3 | MIDSakaARS | 6.1 | £9.6m | 17% | 94% | 14 | 26% |
| 4 | MIDCherkiMCI | 6.1 | £7.8m | 29% | 81% | 15 | 24% |
| 5 | FWDWissaNEW | 6.0 | £6.3m | 19% | 93% | 13 | 21% |
| 6 | MIDGroßBHA | 5.9 | £6.0m | 37% | 96% | 14 | 22% |
| 7 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 5.8 | £5.6m | 8% | 87% | 13 | 21% |
| 8 | MIDE.Le FéeSUN | 5.7 | £5.7m | 3% | 96% | 13 | 21% |
| 9 | FWDMarmoushTOT | 5.7 | £7.0m | 2% | 88% | 13 | 18% |
| 10 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 5.6 | £7.9m | 20% | 96% | 13 | 18% |
| 11 | MIDSzoboszlaiLIV | 5.6 | £6.9m | 30% | 96% | 13 | 20% |
| 12 | MIDB.FernandesMUN | 5.6 | £11.9m | 37% | 93% | 13 | 20% |
| 13 | MIDWirtzLIV | 5.4 | £7.3m | 5% | 95% | 13 | 20% |
| 14 | DEFVan HeckeTOT | 5.3 | £4.9m | 6% | 96% | 11 | 15% |
| 15 | MIDBarnesNEW | 5.2 | £6.1m | 8% | 93% | 13 | 17% |
| 16 | MIDKingFUL | 5.1 | £5.6m | 5% | 93% | 13 | 18% |
| 17 | FWDCalvert-LewinLEE | 5.1 | £6.0m | 23% | 95% | 12 | 12% |
| 18 | MIDGomezBHA | 5.0 | £5.0m | 4% | 94% | 12 | 16% |
| 19 | FWDHavertzARS | 4.9 | £7.5m | 7% | 94% | 12 | 13% |
| 20 | MIDEnzoMCI | 4.9 | £6.9m | 4% | 86% | 12 | 15% |
Fixture projections
Gameweek 7 fixtures — clean sheets & key players
- CS Everton
- 26%
- CS Chelsea
- 30%
- 1 / X / 2
- 34 / 25 / 41
- xG
- 1.21 – 1.35
- CS Brentford
- 23%
- CS Liverpool
- 27%
- 1 / X / 2
- 34 / 26 / 39
- xG
- 1.32 – 1.48
- CS Fulham
- 40%
- CS Hull City
- 19%
- 1 / X / 2
- 58 / 23 / 19
- xG
- 1.68 – 0.93
Man CityvIpswich Town
Sat 17 Oct- CS Man City
- 44%
- CS Ipswich Town
- 5%
- 1 / X / 2
- 79 / 13 / 9
- xG
- 2.92 – 0.81
NewcastlevAston Villa
Sat 17 Oct- CS Newcastle
- 29%
- CS Aston Villa
- 21%
- 1 / X / 2
- 46 / 25 / 29
- xG
- 1.57 – 1.24
BournemouthvSunderland
Sun 18 Oct- CS Bournemouth
- 35%
- CS Sunderland
- 20%
- MIDTavernierBOUstart 95%7.2
- MIDE.Le FéeSUNstart 96%5.7
- DEFHillBOUstart 94%4.7
- DEFTruffertBOUstart 96%4.3
- CS Leeds
- 21%
- CS Man Utd
- 24%
- MIDMbeumoMUNstart 96%5.6
- MIDB.FernandesMUNstart 93%5.6
- FWDCalvert-LewinLEEstart 95%5.1
- MIDRashfordMUNstart 89%4.4
SpursvCoventry City
Mon 19 Oct- CS Spurs
- 44%
- CS Coventry City
- 19%
- FWDMarmoushTOTstart 88%5.7
- DEFVan HeckeTOTstart 96%5.3
- DEFVan de VenTOTstart 92%4.3
- MIDSávioTOTstart 83%4.2
By position
Top projected by position
GK
DEF
MID
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m. Refreshes nightly until the deadline, then becomes the permanent record for this gameweek.
Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC