GW7 projected points
6.1
4th of 320
Start probability
81%
Next fixture
Haul probability
24%
10+ points
Blank risk
36%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
6.1
90th percentile
15
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Ipswich Town
17 Oct
Aston Villa
24 Oct
Brighton
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £7.8m
- Ownership
- 29%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.78
- Rank · midfielders
- 3rd of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Rayan Cherki (Man City, Midfielder, £7.8m) is projected 6.1 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 4th of 320 projected players and 3rd of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Cherki a 81% chance of starting, a probable starter. Haul odds (10+ points) are 24% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 36%, a genuine haul candidate; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-15 points.
Next up: Ipswich Town (H) in GW7 (6.1 xP), then Aston Villa (A) in GW8 (4.3 xP), then Brighton (H) in GW9 (4.5 xP).
This week Cherki is the 4th-ranked captain pick.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 4.4 | 3▼-1.4 | 65 | 64% | 0–12 |
| GW4 | 4.1 | 1▼-3.1 | 45 | 81% | 1–10 |
| GW5 | 5.2 | 8▲+2.8 | 84 | 72% | 0–13 |
| GW6 | 4.0 | pending | — | 82% | 0–10 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
6.1
GW8
4.3
GW9
4.5
GW10
4.2
GW11
4.8
GW12
3.2
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.