England

Premier League

Season

2026/27

Teams

Played

Goals / match

2.82

BTTS rate

50%

Over 2.5 rate

52%

Result environment

36% home wins32% draws32% away wins

Share of settled 2026/27 results.

Upcoming fixtures

12 shown

10 Oct
11:30Arsenal v Leeds70%18%11%10 Oct
14:00Aston Villa v Brentford36%27%37%10 Oct
14:00Sunderland v Brighton32%27%41%10 Oct
14:00Chelsea v Bournemouth56%23%21%10 Oct
14:00Ipswich v Fulham34%27%40%10 Oct
16:30Man Utd v Tottenham56%22%22%11 Oct
13:00Crystal Palace v Nottm Forest36%28%36%11 Oct
13:00Hull v Everton25%28%47%11 Oct
15:30Liverpool v Man City37%25%38%12 Oct
19:00Coventry v Newcastle27%26%46%17 Oct
11:30Everton v Chelsea—17 Oct
14:00Fulham v Hull—

home · draw · away — Metis Forecast

Model record · since 29 August 2026

Forecasts settled

Top pick landed

15/38

Mean RPS

0.2013

Market-anchored

95%

Every 2026/27 fixture Metis published a forecast for and that has since settled, from 29 Aug to 20 Sept. Each row is frozen at the last publish before kick-off and is never re-computed. 95% of them were market-anchored, so this is the record of the published forecast rather than of the independent model. RPS is a loss: lower is better.

Settled fixtures with the Metis forecast as it stood before kick-off
Date	Fixture	Pre-match H · D · A	Result	Pick
20 Sept	Bournemouth v Liverpool	30% · 25% · 45%	0–1	Top pick landed
20 Sept	Fulham v Man Utd	27% · 25% · 49%	1–1	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Leeds v Crystal Palace	57% · 24% · 19%	0–0	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Man City v Sunderland	74% · 16% · 9%	5–3	Top pick landed
19 Sept	Brighton v Arsenal	19% · 24% · 57%	3–0	Top pick missed
19 Sept	Everton v Ipswich	54% · 25% · 22%	1–0	Top pick landed
19 Sept	Newcastle v Hull	60% · 22% · 18%	2–1	Top pick landed
19 Sept	Nottm Forest v Coventry	60% · 24% · 17%	0–1	Top pick missed
19 Sept	Tottenham v Aston Villa	48% · 27% · 25%	2–3	Top pick missed
18 Sept	Brentford v Chelsea	34% · 27% · 40%	3–0	Top pick missed
14 Sept	Leeds v Newcastle	42% · 27% · 30%	4–1	Top pick landed
13 Sept	Coventry v Brighton	24% · 25% · 51%	0–5	Top pick landed
13 Sept	Man Utd v Man City	30% · 25% · 46%	0–1	Top pick landed
12 Sept	Aston Villa v Nottm Forest	43% · 28% · 29%	1–2	Top pick missed
12 Sept	Bournemouth v Brentford	39% · 26% · 34%	2–2	Top pick missed
12 Sept	Chelsea v Hull	80% · 13% · 7%	2–2	Top pick missed
12 Sept	Crystal Palace v Ipswich	51% · 26% · 23%	2–3	Top pick missed
12 Sept	Liverpool v Fulham	63% · 21% · 16%	0–0	Top pick missed
12 Sept	Sunderland v Arsenal	14% · 25% · 61%	0–2	Top pick landed
12 Sept	Tottenham v Everton	48% · 26% · 26%	0–0	Top pick missed
6 Sept	Arsenal v Chelsea	56% · 25% · 19%	2–1	Top pick landed
6 Sept	Everton v Man Utd	27% · 26% · 47%	2–2	Top pick missed
5 Sept	Brentford v Sunderland	56% · 25% · 19%	1–1	Top pick missed
5 Sept	Brighton v Leeds	47% · 27% · 26%	1–1	Top pick missed
5 Sept	Fulham v Crystal Palace	45% · 29% · 26%	2–3	Top pick missed

25 most recent of 38

Standings · 2026/27

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Man Utd	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottm Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	-6	2

Model Stats — Premier League 2026/27

All stats from current season domestic league fixtures. Click any column header to sort.

Team↕	P↕	BTTS%↓	O1.5%↕	O2.5%↕	O3.5%↕	U2.5%↕	CS%↕	FTS%↕	Avg GF↕	Avg GA↕	Avg Tot↕
Bournemouth	5	80.0%	80.0%	60.0%	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	20.0%	1.20	1.60	2.80
Chelsea	5	80.0%	100.0%	100.0%	60.0%	0.0%	0.0%	20.0%	2.00	2.40	4.40
Newcastle	5	80.0%	100.0%	80.0%	60.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.80	1.80	3.60
Brentford	5	60.0%	100.0%	60.0%	20.0%	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	2.00	0.80	2.80
Crystal Palace	5	60.0%	80.0%	60.0%	60.0%	40.0%	20.0%	40.0%	1.20	2.20	3.40
Fulham	5	60.0%	60.0%	40.0%	40.0%	60.0%	20.0%	40.0%	1.00	1.60	2.60
Ipswich	5	60.0%	80.0%	60.0%	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	1.40	2.20	3.60
Leeds	5	60.0%	60.0%	20.0%	20.0%	80.0%	40.0%	20.0%	1.40	0.60	2.00
Man City	5	60.0%	60.0%	60.0%	40.0%	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	2.60	1.00	3.60
Man Utd	5	60.0%	80.0%	40.0%	40.0%	60.0%	0.0%	40.0%	1.60	1.60	3.20
Sunderland	5	60.0%	80.0%	40.0%	20.0%	60.0%	20.0%	20.0%	1.20	2.00	3.20
Aston Villa	5	40.0%	60.0%	60.0%	40.0%	40.0%	20.0%	60.0%	0.80	1.80	2.60
Brighton	5	40.0%	100.0%	80.0%	60.0%	20.0%	60.0%	0.0%	3.20	1.00	4.20
Everton	5	40.0%	60.0%	20.0%	20.0%	80.0%	60.0%	20.0%	1.20	0.60	1.80
Hull	5	40.0%	60.0%	40.0%	20.0%	60.0%	60.0%	20.0%	1.20	0.80	2.00
Liverpool	5	40.0%	60.0%	40.0%	40.0%	60.0%	60.0%	20.0%	1.40	0.80	2.20
Nottm Forest	5	40.0%	40.0%	40.0%	20.0%	60.0%	20.0%	60.0%	0.80	1.00	1.80
Arsenal	5	20.0%	80.0%	60.0%	0.0%	40.0%	60.0%	20.0%	1.60	0.80	2.40
Tottenham	5	20.0%	60.0%	40.0%	20.0%	60.0%	40.0%	80.0%	0.40	1.60	2.00
Coventry	5	0.0%	40.0%	40.0%	20.0%	60.0%	20.0%	80.0%	0.20	2.00	2.20
League avg	—	50.0%	72.0%	52.0%	34.0%	48.0%	30.0%	30.0%	—	—	2.82