Best FPL captain picks, Gameweek 6.
GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Bukayo Saka is the best FPL captain pick for Gameweek 6 on 13.8 captain expected value (6.9 xPts doubled), with a 29% haul chance and 29% blank risk; B.Fernandes is 2nd on 13.8.
Captain EV is twice the player's expected points; floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentiles of the doubled score. The Metis Fantasy 11 captains Saka with B.Fernandes as vice.
Armband
Captaincy top five
| # | Player | Capt EV | Floor | Ceiling | Start% | Haul% | Blank% | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDSakaARS | 13.8 | 1 | 15 | 95% | 29% | 29% | 14% |
| 2 | MIDB.FernandesMUN | 13.8 | 1 | 15 | 95% | 30% | 30% | 39% |
| 3 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 13.6 | 1 | 15 | 97% | 26% | 34% | 21% |
| 4 | FWDWissaNEW | 11.7 | 1 | 13 | 93% | 19% | 51% | 19% |
| 5 | FWDHaalandMCI | 11.4 | 1 | 13 | 97% | 17% | 52% | 74% |
Shortlist
Top 15 captain options by expected value
| # | Player | Capt EV | xPts | Price | Start% | Haul% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDSakaARS | 13.8 | 6.9 | £9.5m | 95% | 29% | 15 | v LEE |
| 2 | MIDB.FernandesMUN | 13.8 | 6.9 | £11.9m | 95% | 30% | 15 | v TOT |
| 3 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 13.6 | 6.8 | £7.9m | 97% | 26% | 15 | v TOT |
| 4 | FWDWissaNEW | 11.7 | 5.8 | £6.2m | 93% | 19% | 13 | @ COV |
| 5 | FWDHaalandMCI | 11.4 | 5.7 | £15.6m | 97% | 17% | 13 | @ LIV |
| 6 | FWDHavertzARS | 11.0 | 5.5 | £7.6m | 94% | 16% | 13 | v LEE |
| 7 | MIDTavernierBOU | 10.9 | 5.5 | £6.1m | 96% | 19% | 13 | @ CHE |
| 8 | MIDRogersCHE | 10.9 | 5.4 | £7.7m | 98% | 18% | 13 | v BOU |
| 9 | MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO | 10.7 | 5.3 | £8.0m | 97% | 18% | 13 | @ CRY |
| 10 | MIDGroßBHA | 10.5 | 5.3 | £5.8m | 97% | 17% | 13 | @ SUN |
| 11 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 10.4 | 5.2 | £5.6m | 87% | 18% | 12 | @ SUN |
| 12 | MIDBarnesNEW | 10.2 | 5.1 | £6.1m | 94% | 18% | 13 | @ COV |
| 13 | DEFGabrielARS | 10.1 | 5.0 | £8.0m | 97% | 11% | 10 | v LEE |
| 14 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 9.7 | 4.8 | £5.7m | 95% | 11% | 12 | v BHA |
| 15 | MIDE.Le FéeSUN | 9.6 | 4.8 | £5.7m | 97% | 15% | 12 | v BHA |
What Metis actually does
Model captaincy this gameweek
Metis Fantasy 11
vice · B.Fernandes
The best legal squad rebuilt from scratch — the armband goes to the highest captain EV in that XI.
Metis FC
Metis FC decides within 48 hours of the deadline. Metis FC →
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m. The captaincy top five is the engine's own ranking; the shortlist extends it to every likely starter using 2 × xPts.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC