Best FPL captain picks, Gameweek 11.
GW11 deadline · Sat 21 Nov, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Erling Haaland is the best FPL captain pick for Gameweek 11 on 14.9 captain expected value (7.4 xPts doubled), with a 28% haul chance and 38% blank risk; Palmer is 2nd on 13.5.
Captain EV is twice the player's expected points; floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentiles of the doubled score. The Metis Fantasy 11 captains Haaland with Palmer as vice.
Armband
Captaincy top five
| # | Player | Capt EV | Floor | Ceiling | Start% | Haul% | Blank% | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDHaalandMCI | 14.9 | 2 | 16 | 96% | 28% | 38% | 79% |
| 2 | MIDPalmerCHE | 13.5 | 1 | 15 | 96% | 28% | 36% | 29% |
| 3 | MIDRogersCHE | 12.5 | 1 | 15 | 97% | 25% | 38% | 54% |
| 4 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 11.4 | 1 | 14 | 96% | 19% | 49% | 20% |
| 5 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 11.2 | 1 | 13 | 95% | 17% | 54% | 29% |
Shortlist
Top 15 captain options by expected value
| # | Player | Capt EV | xPts | Price | Start% | Haul% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDHaalandMCI | 14.9 | 7.4 | £15.8m | 96% | 28% | 16 | v FUL |
| 2 | MIDPalmerCHE | 13.5 | 6.8 | £9.8m | 96% | 28% | 15 | v LEE |
| 3 | MIDRogersCHE | 12.5 | 6.3 | £8.2m | 97% | 25% | 15 | v LEE |
| 4 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 11.4 | 5.7 | £7.9m | 96% | 19% | 14 | @ LIV |
| 5 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 11.2 | 5.6 | £7.0m | 95% | 17% | 13 | v SUN |
| 6 | MIDTavernierBOU | 11.2 | 5.6 | £6.6m | 96% | 21% | 13 | v NFO |
| 7 | FWDIsakLIV | 10.9 | 5.5 | £9.2m | 89% | 17% | 13 | v MUN |
| 8 | MIDNetoCHE | 10.4 | 5.2 | £6.6m | 96% | 18% | 13 | v LEE |
| 9 | MIDManzambiAVL | 10.3 | 5.2 | £6.2m | 95% | 16% | 12 | v SUN |
| 10 | FWDEvanilsonBOU | 10.3 | 5.1 | £6.5m | 96% | 15% | 12 | v NFO |
| 11 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 9.9 | 4.9 | £5.8m | 90% | 15% | 12 | @ HUL |
| 12 | FWDThiagoBRE | 9.7 | 4.8 | £7.8m | 96% | 13% | 12 | v EVE |
| 13 | MIDRudoniCOV | 9.7 | 4.8 | £4.9m | 95% | 17% | 12 | v CRY |
| 14 | MIDMcGinnAVL | 9.6 | 4.8 | £5.4m | 84% | 15% | 12 | v SUN |
| 15 | DEFGabrielARS | 9.5 | 4.7 | £8.1m | 96% | 11% | 10 | @ NEW |
What Metis actually does
Model captaincy this gameweek
Metis Fantasy 11
vice · Palmer
The best legal squad rebuilt from scratch — the armband goes to the highest captain EV in that XI.
Metis FC
Metis FC decides within 48 hours of the deadline. Metis FC →
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m. The captaincy top five is the engine's own ranking; the shortlist extends it to every likely starter using 2 × xPts.
Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC