GW7 projected points
3.4
88th of 320
Start probability
60%
Next fixture
Haul probability
10%
10+ points
Blank risk
70%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
3.4
90th percentile
10
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Sunderland
18 Oct
Man Utd
25 Oct
Leeds
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £6.0m
- Ownership
- 3%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.57
- Rank · forwards
- 12th of 30
Read the model’s player summary
Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa (Bournemouth, Forward, £6.0m) is projected 3.4 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 88th of 320 projected players and 12th of 30 forwards.
The model gives Evanilson a 60% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 10% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 70%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-10 points.
Next up: Sunderland (H) in GW7 (3.4 xP), then Man Utd (A) in GW8 (2.8 xP), then Leeds (H) in GW9 (3.1 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.9 | 2▼-1.9 | 90 | 97% | 1–9 |
| GW4 | 3.9 | 5▲+1.1 | 90 | 97% | 1–9 |
| GW5 | 2.5 | 2▼-0.5 | 90 | 61% | 0–8 |
| GW6 | 2.7 | pending | — | 60% | 0–8 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
3.4
GW8
2.8
GW9
3.1
GW10
3.0
GW11
2.9
GW12
2.6
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.