Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 5

FPL Gameweek 5 projections & best XI.

GW5 complete · locked Fri, 18 Sept 2026

Model updated

Metis projects 66.9 points for its Fantasy 11 in Gameweek 5 (3-5-2, £99.8m squad), captained by Haaland.

Best captain pick: Haaland at 16.6 captain EV, ahead of Wissa (13.2).

Haaland leads the 320-player pool on 8.3 xPts across 10 Premier League fixtures.

How it went

Fantasy 11 — 51 actual vs 66.9 projected

projected 66.9·actual 51(-15.9)game average 48
PlayerProjActualΔ
HorníčekGK4.33-1.3
GuéhiDEF4.94-0.9
MitchellDEF4.07+3.0
EganDEF3.71-2.7
MbeumoMID5.42-3.4
SchadeMID5.09+4.0
HaalandCFWD8.36 (12)-2.3
WissaFWD6.60-6.6
TavernierMID5.02-3.0
BarnesMID5.69+3.4
B.FernandesMID5.92-3.9
Bench
LenoGK · bench3.03-0.0
João PedroFWD · bench4.30-4.3
ThomasDEF · bench3.49+5.6
O'SheaDEF · bench3.02-1.0

Locked 2026-09-18 05:08 UTC · deadline 2026-09-18 17:30 UTC

Best legal squad, rebuilt from scratch

Metis Fantasy 11 — Gameweek 5

Fantasy home

Armband

Captain picks — Gameweek 5

Captain picks
Captain picks GW5
#PlayerCapt EVFloorCeilingStart%Haul%Blank%
1FWDHaalandMCI16.621696%35%33%
2FWDWissaNEW13.211394%24%45%
3MIDB.FernandesMUN11.711395%22%37%
4FWDBarryEVE11.311396%16%52%
5FWDCalvert-LewinLEE11.311398%15%52%

This gameweek

Highest xPts, differentials, value, ceilings, floors, blank risk

Highest xPts

more →
FWDHaalandMCI8.3 xP
FWDWissaNEW6.6 xP
FWDBarryEVE5.7 xP

Differentials (<10% owned)

more →
MIDTavernierBOU6% own
MIDSchadeBRE7% own
MIDBarnesNEW4% own
MIDAndersonMCI4% own
MIDE.Le FéeSUN4% own

Best value

more →
FWDWissaNEW1.06 xP/£m
FWDBarryEVE1.01 xP/£m
FWDCalvert-LewinLEE0.94 xP/£m
MIDBarnesNEW0.94 xP/£m
DEFBotmanNEW0.93 xP/£m

Highest ceiling

FWDHaalandMCI16 pts
MIDSakaARS14 pts
FWDBarryEVE13 pts

Highest floor

FWDHaalandMCI2 pts
MIDAndersonMCI2 pts
GKRayaARS1 pts
DEFGabrielARS1 pts
DEFCalafioriARS1 pts

Lowest blank risk

more →
DEFBotmanNEW37%

Ranking

Top 20 projected players — Gameweek 5

Full expected-points list
Top projected players GW5
#PlayerxPtsPriceOwnedStart%CeilingHaul%
1FWDHaalandMCI8.3£15.6m73%96%1635%
2FWDWissaNEW6.6£6.2m19%94%1324%
3MIDB.FernandesMUN5.9£12.0m41%95%1322%
4FWDBarryEVE5.7£5.6m7%96%1316%
5FWDCalvert-LewinLEE5.6£6.0m24%98%1315%
6MIDBarnesNEW5.6£6.0m4%95%1319%
7MIDSakaARS5.4£9.5m13%76%1422%
8MIDMbeumoMUN5.4£7.9m22%92%1317%
9MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO5.3£8.0m14%80%1420%
10FWDIsakLIV5.2£9.1m22%90%1314%
11MIDCherkiMCI5.2£7.8m28%72%1319%
12MIDAndersonMCI5.0£6.3m4%98%1010%
13MIDSchadeBRE5.0£6.1m7%98%1116%
14MIDTavernierBOU5.0£6.1m6%97%1216%
15DEFGuéhiMCI4.9£6.0m19%98%99%
16MIDSzoboszlaiLIV4.8£7.0m35%97%1114%
17DEFGvardiolMCI4.8£5.7m25%97%910%
18MIDPalmerCHE4.8£9.7m27%96%1114%
19DEFBotmanNEW4.6£5.0m0.7%97%910%
20MIDOkaforLEE4.6£5.8m0.4%88%1113%

Fixture projections

Gameweek 5 fixtures — clean sheets & key players

Premier League

BrentfordvChelsea

Fri 18 Sept
CS Brentford
22%
CS Chelsea
26%

SpursvAston Villa

Sat 19 Sept
CS Spurs
29%
CS Aston Villa
27%

BrightonvArsenal

Sat 19 Sept
CS Brighton
19%
CS Arsenal
35%
CS Everton
34%
CS Ipswich Town
19%

NewcastlevHull City

Sat 19 Sept
CS Newcastle
35%
CS Hull City
18%
CS Nott'm Forest
39%
CS Coventry City
21%
CS Bournemouth
20%
CS Liverpool
31%
Match forecast →
CS Leeds
30%
CS Crystal Palace
19%
Match forecast →

Man CityvSunderland

Sun 20 Sept
CS Man City
51%
CS Sunderland
8%
Match forecast →

FulhamvMan Utd

Sun 20 Sept
CS Fulham
21%
CS Man Utd
30%
Match forecast →

By position

Top projected by position

GK

GKDonnarummaMCI£5.5m4.3
GKSelsNFO£5.0m4.3
GKHorníčekNEW£5.0m4.3
GKTraffordLEE£5.0m3.6
GKLammensMUN£4.9m3.6

DEF

DEFGuéhiMCI£6.0m4.9
DEFGvardiolMCI£5.7m4.8
DEFBotmanNEW£5.0m4.6
DEFTarkowskiEVE£6.1m4.5
DEFMuharemovićLEE£5.0m4.3

MID

MIDB.FernandesMUN£12.0m5.9
MIDBarnesNEW£6.0m5.6
MIDSakaARS£9.5m5.4
MIDMbeumoMUN£7.9m5.4
MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO£8.0m5.3

FWD

FWDHaalandMCI£15.6m8.3
FWDWissaNEW£6.2m6.6
FWDBarryEVE£5.6m5.7
FWDCalvert-LewinLEE£6.0m5.6
FWDIsakLIV£9.1m5.2

Methodology

Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m. This page is the record as published before the deadline; projections are not revised after the fact.

Last updated 18 Sep · 05:08 UTC