Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 6
FPL projections by club.
GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Manchester United carry the most FPL expected points in Gameweek 6 — 42.5 xPts across 11 likely starters, playing Spurs (H).
Best clean-sheet chance: Arsenal at 52%. Clubs are ranked by the summed xPts of their likely starters.
| Club | Next | XI xPts | CS% | Best pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Spurs (H) | 42.5 | 39% | MIDB.FernandesMUN6.9 |
| Arsenal | Leeds (H) | 40.7 | 52% | MIDSakaARS6.9 |
| Manchester City | Liverpool (A) | 38.6 | 28% | FWDHaalandMCI5.7 |
| Everton | Hull City (A) | 38.0 | 32% | FWDBarryEVE4.7 |
| Crystal Palace | Nott'm Forest (H) | 35.9 | 26% | DEFMitchellCRY4.4 |
| Newcastle United | Coventry City (A) | 35.9 | 31% | FWDWissaNEW5.8 |
| Brighton | Sunderland (A) | 35.6 | 30% | MIDGroßBHA5.3 |
| Sunderland | Brighton (H) | 35.3 | 21% | FWDBrobbeySUN4.8 |
| Nottingham Forest | Crystal Palace (A) | 33.9 | 25% | MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO5.3 |
| Liverpool | Man City (H) | 33.0 | 22% | FWDIsakLIV4.7 |
| Fulham | Ipswich Town (A) | 32.8 | 26% | MIDKingFUL4.3 |
| Chelsea | Bournemouth (H) | 32.1 | 28% | MIDRogersCHE5.4 |
| Bournemouth | Chelsea (A) | 31.0 | 18% | MIDTavernierBOU5.5 |
| Hull City | Everton (H) | 30.7 | 29% | DEFEganHUL4.2 |
| Brentford | Aston Villa (A) | 30.5 | 25% | MIDSchadeBRE4.7 |
| Coventry City | Newcastle (H) | 30.5 | 22% | MIDRudoniCOV4.0 |
| Aston Villa | Brentford (H) | 29.7 | 28% | MIDBuendíaAVL4.5 |
| Leeds United | Arsenal (A) | 28.8 | 14% | FWDCalvert-LewinLEE3.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Fulham (H) | 28.2 | 27% | MIDEncisoIPS4.4 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Man Utd (A) | 23.6 | 13% | FWDMarmoushTOT3.9 |
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC