Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 11
FPL projections by club.
GW11 deadline · Sat 21 Nov, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Bournemouth carry the most FPL expected points in Gameweek 11 — 43.6 xPts across 11 likely starters, playing Nott'm Forest (H).
Best clean-sheet chance: Manchester City at 46%. Clubs are ranked by the summed xPts of their likely starters.
| Club | Next | XI xPts | CS% | Best pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Nott'm Forest (H) | 43.6 | 34% | MIDTavernierBOU5.6 |
| Manchester City | Fulham (H) | 42.8 | 46% | FWDHaalandMCI7.4 |
| Brentford | Everton (H) | 40.9 | 36% | FWDThiagoBRE4.8 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Ipswich Town (H) | 39.5 | 33% | MIDKudusTOT4.5 |
| Arsenal | Newcastle (A) | 38.1 | 44% | DEFGabrielARS4.7 |
| Brighton | Hull City (A) | 36.9 | 36% | FWDKostoulasBHA4.9 |
| Liverpool | Man Utd (H) | 36.8 | 24% | FWDIsakLIV5.5 |
| Aston Villa | Sunderland (H) | 34.8 | 40% | FWDN.JacksonAVL5.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Coventry City (A) | 33.6 | 29% | DEFRichardsCRY4.1 |
| Chelsea | Leeds (H) | 33.5 | 32% | MIDPalmerCHE6.8 |
| Everton | Brentford (A) | 32.5 | 22% | FWDBarryEVE4.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Spurs (A) | 32.5 | 17% | MIDEncisoIPS3.8 |
| Hull City | Brighton (H) | 32.4 | 22% | FWDMcBurnieHUL4.3 |
| Nottingham Forest | Bournemouth (A) | 32.1 | 19% | MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO4.0 |
| Coventry City | Crystal Palace (H) | 30.0 | 30% | MIDRudoniCOV4.8 |
| Manchester United | Liverpool (A) | 30.0 | 18% | MIDMbeumoMUN5.7 |
| Leeds United | Chelsea (A) | 29.9 | 17% | FWDCalvert-LewinLEE3.6 |
| Fulham | Man City (A) | 27.7 | 12% | FWDGonzaloFUL3.3 |
| Sunderland | Aston Villa (A) | 24.0 | 21% | MIDE.Le FéeSUN4.6 |
| Newcastle United | Arsenal (H) | 21.9 | 18% | MIDBarnesNEW3.4 |
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC