Best FPL goalkeepers, Gameweek 6.
GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
David Raya Martín (Arsenal, £6.1m) is the top projected FPL goalkeeper for Gameweek 6 at 4.1 expected points, ahead of Lammens (4.1); Arsenal keep a clean sheet in 52% of simulations.
40 goalkeepers are projected this gameweek, 19 of them likely starters; best value is Lammens at 0.83 xPts per £m and the top differential is Horníček (1.5% owned).
Ranking
Top 25 goalkeepers by expected points
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | CS% | Floor | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKRayaARS | 4.1 | £6.1m | 42% | 97% | 52% | 1 | 8 | v LEE |
| 2 | GKLammensMUN | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 97% | 39% | 1 | 9 | v TOT |
| 3 | GKHorníčekNEW | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 95% | 31% | 1 | 9 | @ COV |
| 4 | GKMartinezCHE | 3.7 | £5.0m | 5% | 94% | 28% | 1 | 9 | v BOU |
| 5 | GKTzolakisHUL | 3.6 | £4.6m | 12% | 95% | 29% | 1 | 9 | v EVE |
| 6 | GKSuzukiAVL | 3.6 | £5.0m | 2% | 91% | 28% | 1 | 9 | v BRE |
| 7 | GKKelleherBRE | 3.6 | £5.0m | 6% | 96% | 25% | 1 | 9 | @ AVL |
| 8 | GKPickfordEVE | 3.4 | £5.5m | 9% | 97% | 32% | 1 | 8 | @ HUL |
| 9 | GKLenoFUL | 3.4 | £4.5m | 3% | 97% | 26% | 1 | 9 | @ IPS |
| 10 | GKVerbruggenBHA | 3.3 | £4.5m | 22% | 97% | 30% | 1 | 8 | @ SUN |
| 11 | GKSelsNFO | 3.3 | £5.0m | 2% | 97% | 25% | 1 | 8 | @ CRY |
| 12 | GKDonnarummaMCI | 3.1 | £5.5m | 8% | 97% | 28% | 1 | 7 | @ LIV |
| 13 | GKRoefsSUN | 2.8 | £4.9m | 3% | 97% | 21% | 1 | 7 | v BHA |
| 14 | GKRushworthCOV | 2.6 | £4.5m | 0.8% | 94% | 22% | 1 | 6 | v NEW |
| 15 | GKTraffordLEE | 2.6 | £5.0m | 6% | 91% | 14% | 1 | 7 | @ ARS |
| 16 | GKPetrovićBOU | 2.5 | £4.5m | 3% | 97% | 18% | 1 | 6 | @ CHE |
| 17 | GKBenitezCRY | 2.4 | £4.5m | 0.1% | 69% | 26% | 0 | 7 | v NFO |
| 18 | GKA.BeckerLIV | 2.0 | £5.5m | 4% | 61% | 22% | 0 | 6 | v MCI |
| 19 | GKKinskyTOT | 2.0 | £4.5m | 18% | 92% | 13% | 0 | 6 | @ MUN |
| 20 | GKWaltonIPS | 1.7 | £4.4m | 0.4% | 48% | 27% | 0 | 6 | v FUL |
| 21 | GKZettererLEE | 1.3 | £4.0m | 0.7% | 48% | 14% | 0 | 3 | @ ARS |
| 22 | GKScherpenIPS | 0.7 | £4.5m | 0.6% | 10% | 27% | 0 | 2 | v FUL |
| 23 | GKPopeNEW | 0.1 | £4.9m | 1% | 0% | 31% | 0 | 0 | @ COV |
| 24 | GKArrizabalagaARS | 0.0 | £4.9m | 0.1% | 0% | 52% | 0 | 0 | v LEE |
| 25 | GKWilsonCOV | 0.0 | £4.4m | 0.4% | 0% | 22% | 0 | 0 | v NEW |
xPts per £m · likely starters
Best value goalkeepers
| # | Player | xP/£m | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKLammensMUN | 0.83 | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 97% | v TOT |
| 2 | GKTzolakisHUL | 0.79 | 3.6 | £4.6m | 12% | 95% | v EVE |
| 3 | GKHorníčekNEW | 0.78 | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 95% | @ COV |
| 4 | GKLenoFUL | 0.76 | 3.4 | £4.5m | 3% | 97% | @ IPS |
| 5 | GKMartinezCHE | 0.74 | 3.7 | £5.0m | 5% | 94% | v BOU |
| 6 | GKVerbruggenBHA | 0.74 | 3.3 | £4.5m | 22% | 97% | @ SUN |
| 7 | GKSuzukiAVL | 0.72 | 3.6 | £5.0m | 2% | 91% | v BRE |
| 8 | GKKelleherBRE | 0.72 | 3.6 | £5.0m | 6% | 96% | @ AVL |
| 9 | GKRayaARS | 0.68 | 4.1 | £6.1m | 42% | 97% | v LEE |
| 10 | GKSelsNFO | 0.66 | 3.3 | £5.0m | 2% | 97% | @ CRY |
Under 10% owned
Differential goalkeepers
| # | Player | xPts | Owned | Price | Start% | CS% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKHorníčekNEW | 3.9 | 2% | £5.0m | 95% | 31% | @ COV |
| 2 | GKMartinezCHE | 3.7 | 5% | £5.0m | 94% | 28% | v BOU |
| 3 | GKSuzukiAVL | 3.6 | 2% | £5.0m | 91% | 28% | v BRE |
| 4 | GKKelleherBRE | 3.6 | 6% | £5.0m | 96% | 25% | @ AVL |
| 5 | GKPickfordEVE | 3.4 | 9% | £5.5m | 97% | 32% | @ HUL |
| 6 | GKLenoFUL | 3.4 | 3% | £4.5m | 97% | 26% | @ IPS |
| 7 | GKSelsNFO | 3.3 | 2% | £5.0m | 97% | 25% | @ CRY |
| 8 | GKDonnarummaMCI | 3.1 | 8% | £5.5m | 97% | 28% | @ LIV |
| 9 | GKRoefsSUN | 2.8 | 3% | £4.9m | 97% | 21% | v BHA |
| 10 | GKRushworthCOV | 2.6 | 0.8% | £4.5m | 94% | 22% | v NEW |
Clean sheets
Highest clean-sheet probability — goalkeepers
| # | Player | CS% | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKRayaARS | 52% | 4.1 | £6.1m | 42% | 97% | v LEE |
| 2 | GKLammensMUN | 39% | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 97% | v TOT |
| 3 | GKPickfordEVE | 32% | 3.4 | £5.5m | 9% | 97% | @ HUL |
| 4 | GKHorníčekNEW | 31% | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 95% | @ COV |
| 5 | GKVerbruggenBHA | 30% | 3.3 | £4.5m | 22% | 97% | @ SUN |
| 6 | GKTzolakisHUL | 29% | 3.6 | £4.6m | 12% | 95% | v EVE |
| 7 | GKMartinezCHE | 28% | 3.7 | £5.0m | 5% | 94% | v BOU |
| 8 | GKSuzukiAVL | 28% | 3.6 | £5.0m | 2% | 91% | v BRE |
| 9 | GKDonnarummaMCI | 28% | 3.1 | £5.5m | 8% | 97% | @ LIV |
| 10 | GKBenitezCRY | 26% | 2.4 | £4.5m | 0.1% | 69% | v NFO |
90th percentile
Highest ceilings — goalkeepers
| # | Player | Ceiling | xPts | Price | Owned | CS% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKLammensMUN | 9 | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 39% | v TOT |
| 2 | GKHorníčekNEW | 9 | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 31% | @ COV |
| 3 | GKMartinezCHE | 9 | 3.7 | £5.0m | 5% | 28% | v BOU |
| 4 | GKTzolakisHUL | 9 | 3.6 | £4.6m | 12% | 29% | v EVE |
| 5 | GKSuzukiAVL | 9 | 3.6 | £5.0m | 2% | 28% | v BRE |
| 6 | GKKelleherBRE | 9 | 3.6 | £5.0m | 6% | 25% | @ AVL |
| 7 | GKLenoFUL | 9 | 3.4 | £4.5m | 3% | 26% | @ IPS |
| 8 | GKRayaARS | 8 | 4.1 | £6.1m | 42% | 52% | v LEE |
| 9 | GKPickfordEVE | 8 | 3.4 | £5.5m | 9% | 32% | @ HUL |
| 10 | GKVerbruggenBHA | 8 | 3.3 | £4.5m | 22% | 30% | @ SUN |
Start probability
Most nailed goalkeepers
| # | Player | Start% | xPts | Price | Owned | Blank% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKRayaARS | 97% | 4.1 | £6.1m | 42% | 45% | v LEE |
| 2 | GKPickfordEVE | 97% | 3.4 | £5.5m | 9% | 56% | @ HUL |
| 3 | GKLenoFUL | 97% | 3.4 | £4.5m | 3% | 57% | @ IPS |
| 4 | GKVerbruggenBHA | 97% | 3.3 | £4.5m | 22% | 57% | @ SUN |
| 5 | GKPetrovićBOU | 97% | 2.5 | £4.5m | 3% | 74% | @ CHE |
| 6 | GKDonnarummaMCI | 97% | 3.1 | £5.5m | 8% | 64% | @ LIV |
| 7 | GKRoefsSUN | 97% | 2.8 | £4.9m | 3% | 67% | v BHA |
| 8 | GKLammensMUN | 97% | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 46% | v TOT |
| 9 | GKSelsNFO | 97% | 3.3 | £5.0m | 2% | 56% | @ CRY |
| 10 | GKKelleherBRE | 96% | 3.6 | £5.0m | 6% | 52% | @ AVL |
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC