MetisFootball
Metis·FootballGameweek 6

FPL Gameweek 6, in expected points.

Metis prices every Premier League fixture with its match model, converts it into FPL expected points for 320 players, then solves for the best squad under budget. All free — build your own from the same numbers.

GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00

Model updated

Gameweek 6
CurrentGW6GW6this gameweek's pageGW5GW4GW3All gameweeks
projection archive · past gameweeks keep their pre-deadline record
Provisional — this squad refreshes nightly and locks at the GW6 deadline, Saturday 10:00 UTC. Final projections publish that morning.

Best legal squad for this Gameweek, rebuilt from scratch

Metis Fantasy 11

Full projections →
MartinezCHE · GK3.7
MitchellCRY · DEF4.4FofanaCHE · DEF4.0O'SheaIPS · DEF3.8
CSakaARS · MID6.9VB.FernandesMUN · MID6.9MbeumoMUN · MID6.8TavernierBOU · MID5.5E.Le FéeSUN · MID4.8
WissaNEW · FWD5.8HaalandMCI · FWD5.7
Bench3-5-2
KelleherBRE · GK3.6KostoulasBHA · FWD5.2ThomasCOV · DEF3.6DavisIPS · DEF3.4

C captain · V vice captain · projected points before captain doubling

Projected XI points

65.2

captain doubled

Captain

Saka

vice · B.Fernandes

Squad cost

£100.0m

15-man squad · 3-5-2

Armband

Captaincy — top five

All captain picks →
PlayerEV (×2)FloorCeilingStart%Blank%
MIDSakaARS13.823095%29%
MIDB.FernandesMUN13.823095%30%
MIDMbeumoMUN13.623097%34%
FWDWissaNEW11.722693%51%
FWDHaalandMCI11.422697%52%

This gameweek

Weekly top fives

Gameweek 6 page →

Highest xPts

more →
MIDSakaARS6.9 xPMIDB.FernandesMUN6.9 xPMIDMbeumoMUN6.8 xPFWDWissaNEW5.8 xPFWDHaalandMCI5.7 xP

Best value

more →
DEFEganHUL1.01 xP/£mDEFMitchellCRY0.98 xP/£mDEFO'SheaIPS0.94 xP/£mFWDWissaNEW0.94 xP/£mFWDKostoulasBHA0.93 xP/£m

Highest ceiling

MIDSakaARS15 ptsMIDB.FernandesMUN15 ptsMIDMbeumoMUN15 ptsFWDHavertzARS13 ptsMIDTavernierBOU13 pts

Highest floor

GKRayaARS1 ptsDEFGabrielARS1 ptsDEFCalafioriARS1 ptsMIDSakaARS1 ptsMIDØdegaardARS1 pts

Lowest blank risk

more →
MIDSakaARS29%MIDB.FernandesMUN30%MIDAndersonMCI31%DEFGabrielARS34%MIDMbeumoMUN34%

Differentials (<10% owned)

more →
MIDTavernierBOU7% ownMIDE.Le FéeSUN3% ownMIDBarnesNEW5% ownMIDScottBOU6% ownMIDGomezBHA4% own

Gameweek fixtures

Featured Premier League fixtures

All fixture projections →

Arsenal v Leeds2026-10-10

MIDSakaARS6.9 xPFWDHavertzARS5.5 xPDEFGabrielARS5.0 xP

Aston Villa v Brentford2026-10-10

MIDSchadeBRE4.7 xPMIDBuendíaAVL4.5 xPMIDMcGinnAVL4.5 xP

Chelsea v Bournemouth2026-10-10

MIDTavernierBOU5.5 xPMIDRogersCHE5.4 xPMIDScottBOU4.3 xP

Ipswich Town v Fulham2026-10-10

MIDEncisoIPS4.4 xPMIDKingFUL4.3 xPDEFO'SheaIPS3.8 xP

Sunderland v Brighton2026-10-10

MIDGroßBHA5.3 xPFWDKostoulasBHA5.2 xPFWDBrobbeySUN4.8 xP

Man Utd v Spurs2026-10-10

MIDB.FernandesMUN6.9 xPMIDMbeumoMUN6.8 xPGKLammensMUN4.1 xP

Every player

Player projections & search

Open the full table →

Every Premier League player has a free projection page — expected points, start probability, floor and ceiling, and the next three fixtures. Search and sort the full pool on the projections table.

Metis FC

See what happens when the model has to live with its decisions.

One persistent squad, real transfers, real chips, every decision recorded before the deadline.

Metis FC →
Latest points
48 in GW5 · avg 48290 for the season
Latest recorded decision
GW5 · Slater → Tavernier · C Haalandrecorded 17 Sept, 04:09 UTC · pre-deadline

Methodology

Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture, from the independent model — this run carried no market anchor), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts. The Metis Fantasy 11 is solved under FPL budget and squad rules, optimised for this gameweek's projected points. How accurate has it been? →

Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC