GW7 projected points
4.2
40th of 320
Start probability
87%
Next fixture
Haul probability
12%
10+ points
Blank risk
46%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
4.2
90th percentile
10
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Crystal Palace
18 Oct
Liverpool
25 Oct
Man City
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.4m
- Ownership
- 0.4%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.78
- Rank · midfielders
- 23rd of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Yasin Ayari (Brighton, Midfielder, £5.4m) is projected 4.2 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 40th of 320 projected players and 23rd of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Ayari a 87% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 12% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 46%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-10 points.
Next up: Crystal Palace (H) in GW7 (4.2 xP), then Liverpool (A) in GW8 (3.5 xP), then Man City (A) in GW9 (3.1 xP).
This week Ayari is a differential at 0.4% ownership (24th on the differentials list).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 1.4 | 2▲+0.6 | 90 | 25% | 0–4 |
| GW4 | 3.3 | 8▲+4.7 | 90 | 70% | 0–8 |
| GW5 | 3.2 | 3▼-0.2 | 90 | 84% | 1–8 |
| GW6 | 3.7 | pending | — | 88% | 1–9 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
4.2
GW8
3.5
GW9
3.1
GW10
3.8
GW11
3.7
GW12
4.0
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.