Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 6
FPL expected points, Gameweek 6.
GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Bukayo Saka (Arsenal, £9.5m) is the highest projected FPL player for Gameweek 6 at 6.9 expected points, ahead of B.Fernandes on 6.9.
Expected points are the mean of each player's simulated points distribution from the Metis match model, published for 320 players; the position leaders are Raya (GK, 4.1), Gabriel (DEF, 5.0), Saka (MID, 6.9), Wissa (FWD, 5.8).
Overall
Top 30 by expected points
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Floor | Ceiling | Haul% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDSakaARS | 6.9 | £9.5m | 14% | 95% | 1 | 15 | 29% | v LEE |
| 2 | MIDB.FernandesMUN | 6.9 | £11.9m | 39% | 95% | 1 | 15 | 30% | v TOT |
| 3 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 6.8 | £7.9m | 21% | 97% | 1 | 15 | 26% | v TOT |
| 4 | FWDWissaNEW | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 93% | 1 | 13 | 19% | @ COV |
| 5 | FWDHaalandMCI | 5.7 | £15.6m | 74% | 97% | 1 | 13 | 17% | @ LIV |
| 6 | FWDHavertzARS | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 94% | 1 | 13 | 16% | v LEE |
| 7 | MIDTavernierBOU | 5.5 | £6.1m | 7% | 96% | 1 | 13 | 19% | @ CHE |
| 8 | MIDRogersCHE | 5.4 | £7.7m | 40% | 98% | 1 | 13 | 18% | v BOU |
| 9 | MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO | 5.3 | £8.0m | 16% | 97% | 1 | 13 | 18% | @ CRY |
| 10 | MIDGroßBHA | 5.3 | £5.8m | 28% | 97% | 1 | 13 | 17% | @ SUN |
| 11 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 5.2 | £5.6m | 4% | 87% | 1 | 12 | 18% | @ SUN |
| 12 | MIDBarnesNEW | 5.1 | £6.1m | 5% | 94% | 1 | 13 | 18% | @ COV |
| 13 | DEFGabrielARS | 5.0 | £8.0m | 23% | 97% | 1 | 10 | 11% | v LEE |
| 14 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 95% | 1 | 12 | 11% | v BHA |
| 15 | MIDE.Le FéeSUN | 4.8 | £5.7m | 3% | 97% | 1 | 12 | 15% | v BHA |
| 16 | FWDBarryEVE | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 94% | 1 | 12 | 11% | @ HUL |
| 17 | MIDØdegaardARS | 4.7 | £6.8m | 20% | 95% | 1 | 11 | 13% | v LEE |
| 18 | FWDIsakLIV | 4.7 | £9.1m | 22% | 95% | 1 | 11 | 11% | v MCI |
| 19 | MIDSchadeBRE | 4.7 | £6.2m | 11% | 96% | 1 | 11 | 14% | @ AVL |
| 20 | MIDGomezBHA | 4.5 | £5.0m | 4% | 95% | 1 | 10 | 13% | @ SUN |
| 21 | MIDBuendíaAVL | 4.5 | £5.9m | 1% | 94% | 1 | 11 | 13% | v BRE |
| 22 | MIDMcGinnAVL | 4.5 | £5.4m | 2% | 96% | 1 | 11 | 12% | v BRE |
| 23 | DEFMitchellCRY | 4.4 | £4.5m | 6% | 97% | 1 | 10 | 12% | v NFO |
| 24 | MIDEncisoIPS | 4.4 | £5.5m | 0.8% | 95% | 1 | 10 | 13% | v FUL |
| 25 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 4.3 | £6.5m | 1% | 83% | 1 | 12 | 12% | v BRE |
| 26 | DEFCalafioriARS | 4.3 | £5.8m | 51% | 95% | 1 | 8 | 7% | v LEE |
| 27 | DEFTarkowskiEVE | 4.3 | £6.1m | 16% | 98% | 1 | 9 | 10% | @ HUL |
| 28 | MIDKingFUL | 4.3 | £5.5m | 2% | 94% | 1 | 10 | 11% | @ IPS |
| 29 | DEFBotmanNEW | 4.3 | £5.0m | 0.7% | 96% | 1 | 9 | 9% | @ COV |
| 30 | MIDScottBOU | 4.3 | £6.1m | 6% | 96% | 1 | 9 | 9% | @ CHE |
Goalkeeper
Top 10 goalkeepers by xPts
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | CS% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKRayaARS | 4.1 | £6.1m | 42% | 97% | 52% | 8 | v LEE |
| 2 | GKLammensMUN | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 97% | 39% | 9 | v TOT |
| 3 | GKHorníčekNEW | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 95% | 31% | 9 | @ COV |
| 4 | GKMartinezCHE | 3.7 | £5.0m | 5% | 94% | 28% | 9 | v BOU |
| 5 | GKTzolakisHUL | 3.6 | £4.6m | 12% | 95% | 29% | 9 | v EVE |
| 6 | GKSuzukiAVL | 3.6 | £5.0m | 2% | 91% | 28% | 9 | v BRE |
| 7 | GKKelleherBRE | 3.6 | £5.0m | 6% | 96% | 25% | 9 | @ AVL |
| 8 | GKPickfordEVE | 3.4 | £5.5m | 9% | 97% | 32% | 8 | @ HUL |
| 9 | GKLenoFUL | 3.4 | £4.5m | 3% | 97% | 26% | 9 | @ IPS |
| 10 | GKVerbruggenBHA | 3.3 | £4.5m | 22% | 97% | 30% | 8 | @ SUN |
Defender
Top 10 defenders by xPts
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | CS% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEFGabrielARS | 5.0 | £8.0m | 23% | 97% | 52% | 10 | v LEE |
| 2 | DEFMitchellCRY | 4.4 | £4.5m | 6% | 97% | 26% | 10 | v NFO |
| 3 | DEFCalafioriARS | 4.3 | £5.8m | 51% | 95% | 52% | 8 | v LEE |
| 4 | DEFTarkowskiEVE | 4.3 | £6.1m | 16% | 98% | 32% | 9 | @ HUL |
| 5 | DEFBotmanNEW | 4.3 | £5.0m | 0.7% | 96% | 31% | 9 | @ COV |
| 6 | DEFEganHUL | 4.2 | £4.1m | 7% | 96% | 29% | 9 | v EVE |
| 7 | DEFFofanaCHE | 4.0 | £5.0m | 0.2% | 92% | 28% | 9 | v BOU |
| 8 | DEFMaguireMUN | 4.0 | £4.8m | 9% | 96% | 39% | 8 | v TOT |
| 9 | DEFThiawNEW | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 97% | 31% | 9 | @ COV |
| 10 | DEFRichardsCRY | 3.9 | £5.0m | 0.6% | 96% | 26% | 9 | v NFO |
Midfielder
Top 10 midfielders by xPts
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Haul% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDSakaARS | 6.9 | £9.5m | 14% | 95% | 29% | 15 | v LEE |
| 2 | MIDB.FernandesMUN | 6.9 | £11.9m | 39% | 95% | 30% | 15 | v TOT |
| 3 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 6.8 | £7.9m | 21% | 97% | 26% | 15 | v TOT |
| 4 | MIDTavernierBOU | 5.5 | £6.1m | 7% | 96% | 19% | 13 | @ CHE |
| 5 | MIDRogersCHE | 5.4 | £7.7m | 40% | 98% | 18% | 13 | v BOU |
| 6 | MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO | 5.3 | £8.0m | 16% | 97% | 18% | 13 | @ CRY |
| 7 | MIDGroßBHA | 5.3 | £5.8m | 28% | 97% | 17% | 13 | @ SUN |
| 8 | MIDBarnesNEW | 5.1 | £6.1m | 5% | 94% | 18% | 13 | @ COV |
| 9 | MIDE.Le FéeSUN | 4.8 | £5.7m | 3% | 97% | 15% | 12 | v BHA |
| 10 | MIDØdegaardARS | 4.7 | £6.8m | 20% | 95% | 13% | 11 | v LEE |
Forward
Top 10 forwards by xPts
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Haul% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDWissaNEW | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 93% | 19% | 13 | @ COV |
| 2 | FWDHaalandMCI | 5.7 | £15.6m | 74% | 97% | 17% | 13 | @ LIV |
| 3 | FWDHavertzARS | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 94% | 16% | 13 | v LEE |
| 4 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 5.2 | £5.6m | 4% | 87% | 18% | 12 | @ SUN |
| 5 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 95% | 11% | 12 | v BHA |
| 6 | FWDBarryEVE | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 94% | 11% | 12 | @ HUL |
| 7 | FWDIsakLIV | 4.7 | £9.1m | 22% | 95% | 11% | 11 | v MCI |
| 8 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 4.3 | £6.5m | 1% | 83% | 12% | 12 | v BRE |
| 9 | FWDMcBurnieHUL | 4.1 | £5.5m | 2% | 95% | 9% | 9 | v EVE |
| 10 | FWDThiagoBRE | 4.1 | £7.8m | 9% | 96% | 8% | 9 | @ AVL |
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC