GW7 projected points
5.8
7th of 320
Start probability
87%
Next fixture
Haul probability
21%
10+ points
Blank risk
47%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.8
90th percentile
13
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Crystal Palace
18 Oct
Liverpool
25 Oct
Man City
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.6m
- Ownership
- 8%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 1.03
- Rank · forwards
- 3rd of 30
Read the model’s player summary
Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton, Forward, £5.6m) is projected 5.8 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 7th of 320 projected players and 3rd of 30 forwards.
The model gives Kostoulas a 87% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 21% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 47%, a genuine haul candidate; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-13 points.
Next up: Crystal Palace (H) in GW7 (5.8 xP), then Liverpool (A) in GW8 (4.7 xP), then Man City (A) in GW9 (3.9 xP).
This week Kostoulas is in the Metis Fantasy 11, a differential at 8.2% ownership (2nd on the differentials list), 3rd for value at 1.03 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 4.2 | 2▼-2.2 | 90 | 59% | 0–12 |
| GW4 | 5.0 | 10▲+5.0 | 83 | 76% | 0–13 |
| GW5 | 4.0 | 10▲+6.0 | 75 | 85% | 1–10 |
| GW6 | 4.9 | pending | — | 87% | 1–12 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.8
GW8
4.7
GW9
3.9
GW10
5.3
GW11
4.9
GW12
5.7
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.