FPL Gameweek 10 projections & best XI.
Provisional · locks at the GW10 deadline, Fri 6 Nov, 18:30 UK
Model updated
Metis projects 64.6 points for its Fantasy 11 in Gameweek 10 (3-5-2, £100.0m squad), captained by Mbeumo.
Best captain pick: Mbeumo at 13.9 captain EV, ahead of Ødegaard (13.2).
Mbeumo leads the 320-player pool on 6.9 xPts across 10 Premier League fixtures.
Best legal squad, rebuilt from scratch
Metis Fantasy 11 — Gameweek 10
C captain · V vice captain · projected points before captain doubling
Projected XI points
64.6
captain doubled
Captain
Mbeumo
vice · Ødegaard
Squad cost
£100.0m
15-man squad · 3-5-2
Armband
Captain picks — Gameweek 10
| # | Player | Capt EV | Floor | Ceiling | Start% | Haul% | Blank% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 13.9 | 1 | 15 | 97% | 27% | 38% |
| 2 | MIDØdegaardARS | 13.2 | 2 | 14 | 96% | 24% | 28% |
| 3 | FWDHaalandMCI | 13.1 | 1 | 13 | 97% | 22% | 45% |
| 4 | MIDPalmerCHE | 11.6 | 1 | 13 | 97% | 21% | 40% |
| 5 | MIDTavernierBOU | 11.6 | 1 | 13 | 97% | 21% | 40% |
This gameweek
Highest xPts, differentials, value, ceilings, floors, blank risk
Ranking
Top 20 projected players — Gameweek 10
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Ceiling | Haul% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 6.9 | £7.9m | 21% | 97% | 15 | 27% |
| 2 | MIDØdegaardARS | 6.6 | £6.7m | 17% | 96% | 14 | 24% |
| 3 | FWDHaalandMCI | 6.5 | £15.8m | 79% | 97% | 13 | 22% |
| 4 | MIDPalmerCHE | 5.8 | £9.8m | 28% | 97% | 13 | 21% |
| 5 | MIDTavernierBOU | 5.8 | £6.6m | 26% | 97% | 13 | 21% |
| 6 | DEFGabrielARS | 5.8 | £8.0m | 24% | 97% | 11 | 15% |
| 7 | FWDIsakLIV | 5.7 | £9.2m | 21% | 84% | 13 | 18% |
| 8 | MIDRogersCHE | 5.6 | £8.1m | 52% | 97% | 13 | 21% |
| 9 | FWDBarryEVE | 5.6 | £5.6m | 7% | 95% | 13 | 16% |
| 10 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 5.5 | £5.8m | 10% | 89% | 13 | 19% |
| 11 | MIDGroßBHA | 5.3 | £6.2m | 47% | 97% | 12 | 17% |
| 12 | FWDGonzaloFUL | 5.1 | £6.0m | 5% | 96% | 12 | 14% |
| 13 | FWDCalvert-LewinLEE | 5.0 | £6.1m | 21% | 96% | 12 | 12% |
| 14 | FWDEvanilsonBOU | 5.0 | £6.4m | 16% | 97% | 12 | 15% |
| 15 | MIDNetoCHE | 5.0 | £6.6m | 5% | 96% | 12 | 15% |
| 16 | DEFTarkowskiEVE | 5.0 | £6.2m | 19% | 97% | 10 | 14% |
| 17 | MIDE.Le FéeSUN | 4.9 | £5.7m | 3% | 97% | 12 | 16% |
| 18 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 4.9 | £7.0m | 24% | 95% | 12 | 13% |
| 19 | DEFWhiteARS | 4.9 | £5.4m | 5% | 89% | 10 | 12% |
| 20 | MIDWirtzLIV | 4.8 | £7.2m | 5% | 96% | 12 | 14% |
Fixture projections
Gameweek 10 fixtures — clean sheets & key players
EvertonvCoventry City
Fri 6 Nov- CS Everton
- 40%
- CS Coventry City
- 20%
- 1 / X / 2
- 56 / 23 / 20
- xG
- 1.64 – 0.91
- FWDBarryEVEstart 95%5.6
- DEFTarkowskiEVEstart 97%5.0
- MIDDewsbury-HallEVEstart 96%4.6
- GKPickfordEVEstart 97%4.0
- CS Leeds
- 30%
- CS Spurs
- 27%
- 1 / X / 2
- 38 / 28 / 34
- xG
- 1.32 – 1.21
- FWDCalvert-LewinLEEstart 96%5.0
- DEFMuharemovićLEEstart 96%4.2
- FWDMarmoushTOTstart 83%3.8
- DEFVan HeckeTOTstart 97%3.7
- CS Arsenal
- 55%
- CS Hull City
- 7%
- 1 / X / 2
- 83 / 12 / 5
- xG
- 2.63 – 0.59
- CS Fulham
- 31%
- CS Newcastle
- 21%
- 1 / X / 2
- 45 / 26 / 29
- xG
- 1.55 – 1.18
Nott'm ForestvMan City
Sat 7 Nov- CS Nott'm Forest
- 17%
- CS Man City
- 41%
- 1 / X / 2
- 20 / 24 / 56
- xG
- 0.88 – 1.77
- CS Brighton
- 31%
- CS Brentford
- 17%
- 1 / X / 2
- 50 / 24 / 26
- xG
- 1.76 – 1.18
Crystal PalacevLiverpool
Sun 8 Nov- CS Crystal Palace
- 16%
- CS Liverpool
- 36%
- 1 / X / 2
- 20 / 23 / 57
- xG
- 1.04 – 1.81
Ipswich TownvBournemouth
Sun 8 Nov- CS Ipswich Town
- 20%
- CS Bournemouth
- 30%
- 1 / X / 2
- 25 / 26 / 50
- xG
- 1.20 – 1.63
SunderlandvChelsea
Sun 8 Nov- CS Sunderland
- 21%
- CS Chelsea
- 32%
- 1 / X / 2
- 27 / 26 / 47
- xG
- 1.14 – 1.57
Man UtdvAston Villa
Sun 8 Nov- CS Man Utd
- 28%
- CS Aston Villa
- 22%
- 1 / X / 2
- 42 / 25 / 33
- xG
- 1.53 – 1.29
- MIDMbeumoMUNstart 97%6.9
- FWDN.JacksonAVLstart 95%4.9
- MIDManzambiAVLstart 92%4.3
- MIDB.FernandesMUNstart 53%3.6
By position
Top projected by position
GK
DEF
MID
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m. Refreshes nightly until the deadline, then becomes the permanent record for this gameweek.
Last updated 01 Nov · 04:57 UTC