Best value FPL picks, Gameweek 6.
GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
John Egan (Hull City, £4.1m) is the best value FPL pick for Gameweek 6: 4.2 expected points for 1.01 xPts per £m with a 96% start chance; Mitchell (£4.5m) follows on 0.98.
Value is expected points divided by price, restricted to players with at least a 50% chance of starting so cheap non-starters cannot top the list. Cheap enablers dominate by construction — the price-band tables below compare like with like.
Likely starters only
Top 30 by expected points per £m
| # | Player | xP/£m | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEFEganHUL | 1.01 | 4.2 | £4.1m | 7% | 96% | 9 | v EVE |
| 2 | DEFMitchellCRY | 0.98 | 4.4 | £4.5m | 6% | 97% | 10 | v NFO |
| 3 | DEFO'SheaIPS | 0.94 | 3.8 | £4.0m | 3% | 96% | 9 | v FUL |
| 4 | FWDWissaNEW | 0.94 | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 93% | 13 | @ COV |
| 5 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 0.93 | 5.2 | £5.6m | 4% | 87% | 12 | @ SUN |
| 6 | MIDGomezBHA | 0.91 | 4.5 | £5.0m | 4% | 95% | 10 | @ SUN |
| 7 | MIDGroßBHA | 0.91 | 5.3 | £5.8m | 28% | 97% | 13 | @ SUN |
| 8 | DEFThomasCOV | 0.90 | 3.6 | £4.0m | 9% | 96% | 9 | v NEW |
| 9 | MIDTavernierBOU | 0.89 | 5.5 | £6.1m | 7% | 96% | 13 | @ CHE |
| 10 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 0.86 | 6.8 | £7.9m | 21% | 97% | 15 | v TOT |
| 11 | DEFBotmanNEW | 0.86 | 4.3 | £5.0m | 0.7% | 96% | 9 | @ COV |
| 12 | DEFDavisIPS | 0.86 | 3.4 | £4.0m | 7% | 96% | 8 | v FUL |
| 13 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 0.85 | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 95% | 12 | v BHA |
| 14 | FWDBarryEVE | 0.85 | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 94% | 12 | @ HUL |
| 15 | MIDE.Le FéeSUN | 0.84 | 4.8 | £5.7m | 3% | 97% | 12 | v BHA |
| 16 | DEFDiopIPS | 0.84 | 3.4 | £4.0m | 13% | 94% | 8 | v FUL |
| 17 | DEFMaguireMUN | 0.84 | 4.0 | £4.8m | 9% | 96% | 8 | v TOT |
| 18 | MIDBarnesNEW | 0.83 | 5.1 | £6.1m | 5% | 94% | 13 | @ COV |
| 19 | GKLammensMUN | 0.83 | 4.1 | £4.9m | 10% | 97% | 9 | v TOT |
| 20 | DEFKonsaARS | 0.83 | 3.8 | £4.6m | 19% | 87% | 7 | v LEE |
| 21 | MIDRudoniCOV | 0.83 | 4.0 | £4.9m | 0.1% | 91% | 10 | v NEW |
| 22 | MIDMcGinnAVL | 0.82 | 4.5 | £5.4m | 2% | 96% | 11 | v BRE |
| 23 | DEFFofanaCHE | 0.81 | 4.0 | £5.0m | 0.2% | 92% | 9 | v BOU |
| 24 | MIDEncisoIPS | 0.80 | 4.4 | £5.5m | 0.8% | 95% | 10 | v FUL |
| 25 | DEFThiawNEW | 0.79 | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 97% | 9 | @ COV |
| 26 | GKTzolakisHUL | 0.79 | 3.6 | £4.6m | 12% | 95% | 9 | v EVE |
| 27 | DEFGilesHUL | 0.78 | 3.1 | £4.0m | 3% | 96% | 6 | v EVE |
| 28 | MIDKingFUL | 0.78 | 4.3 | £5.5m | 2% | 94% | 10 | @ IPS |
| 29 | GKHorníčekNEW | 0.78 | 3.9 | £5.0m | 2% | 95% | 9 | @ COV |
| 30 | DEFAjerBRE | 0.78 | 3.5 | £4.5m | 4% | 95% | 8 | @ AVL |
Price band
Best value £4.0m – £5.0m
Price band
Best value £5.1m – £7.0m
Price band
Best value £7.1m – £9.5m
| # | Player | xP/£m | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Haul% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIDMbeumoMUN | 0.86 | 6.8 | £7.9m | 21% | 97% | 26% | v TOT |
| 2 | MIDSakaARS | 0.73 | 6.9 | £9.5m | 14% | 95% | 29% | v LEE |
| 3 | FWDHavertzARS | 0.72 | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 94% | 16% | v LEE |
| 4 | MIDRogersCHE | 0.70 | 5.4 | £7.7m | 40% | 98% | 18% | v BOU |
| 5 | MIDGibbs-WhiteNFO | 0.67 | 5.3 | £8.0m | 16% | 97% | 18% | @ CRY |
| 6 | DEFGabrielARS | 0.63 | 5.0 | £8.0m | 23% | 97% | 11% | v LEE |
Price band
Best value £9.6m and up
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC