Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 6

Chelsea FPL players, xPts & likely starters.

GW6 · Bournemouth (H) · Sat 10 Oct

Model updated

Chelsea have 16 projected FPL players and 9 likely starters for Gameweek 6, playing Bournemouth (H). Top projection: Rogers at 5.4 xPts.

Clean-sheet probability 28% · best value Fofana (0.81 xPts per £m) · differential Fofana (0.2% owned).

Clean sheet

28%

this gameweek

Best pick

Rogers

5.4 xPts · £7.7m

Likely starters

9

of 16 projected

XI xPts

32.1

summed likely starters

By start probability

Likely starters

Start probabilities

The goalkeeper plus the ten outfielders most likely to start — a probability ranking, not a formation prediction.

Every projected player

Chelsea FPL projections · GW6

Full table
Chelsea FPL projections
PlayerxPtsPriceOwnedStart%FloorCeilingHaul%Blank%
MIDRogersCHE5.4£7.7m40%98%11318%42%
MIDPalmerCHE4.1£9.7m26%72%01214%56%
DEFFofanaCHE4.0£5.0m0.2%92%198%38%
MIDNetoCHE3.8£6.5m1%92%198%55%
GKMartinezCHE3.7£5.0m5%94%198%47%
DEFLacroixCHE3.4£5.9m7%76%097%50%
DEFColwillCHE3.1£4.8m0.9%84%085%58%
FWDWelbeckCHE2.9£5.9m1%51%097%76%
FWDJoão PedroCHE2.8£7.7m66%38%01111%75%
MIDLaviaCHE1.8£5.0m0.2%43%053%79%
MIDHendersonCHE1.7£4.9m0%51%041%78%
DEFHatoCHE1.5£4.5m0.8%35%052%84%
DEFGustoCHE1.4£4.9m1%37%062%85%
DEFJamesCHE1.2£5.4m6%31%052%87%
MIDCaicedoCHE0.1£5.3m1%1%000%100%
GKPendersCHE0.0£4.4m0.1%0%000%100%

Schedule

Next fixtures

Club page
GW6v BournemouthSat 10 Oct5.4 xP best
GW7@ EvertonSat 17 Oct4.5 xP best
GW8v SpursSat 24 Oct5.9 xP best

Armband

Captaincy relevance

Captain picks
#8MIDRogersCHE10.9 EV

Model selections

In the Metis Fantasy 11 and Metis FC

Gameweek 6

Metis Fantasy 11

Metis FC squad

Metis FC →

Methodology

Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.

Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC