Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 11

Chelsea FPL players, xPts & likely starters.

GW11 · Leeds (H) · Sat 21 Nov

Model updated

Chelsea have 16 projected FPL players and 8 likely starters for Gameweek 11, playing Leeds (H). Top projection: Palmer at 6.8 xPts.

Clean-sheet probability 32% · best value Colwill (0.80 xPts per £m) · differential Neto (5.1% owned).

Clean sheet

32%

this gameweek

Best pick

Palmer

6.8 xPts · £9.8m

Likely starters

8

of 16 projected

XI xPts

33.5

summed likely starters

By start probability

Likely starters

Start probabilities →

The goalkeeper plus the ten outfielders most likely to start — a probability ranking, not a formation prediction.

Every projected player

Chelsea FPL projections · GW11

Full table →
Chelsea FPL projections
PlayerxPtsPriceOwnedStart%FloorCeilingHaul%Blank%
MIDPalmerCHE6.8£9.8m29%96%11528%36%
MIDRogersCHE6.3£8.2m54%97%11525%38%
MIDNetoCHE5.2£6.6m5%96%11318%43%
DEFColwillCHE3.8£4.8m0.9%95%187%51%
DEFAcheampongCHE3.4£4.5m0.5%88%075%60%
GKPendersCHE2.9£4.4m0.3%70%085%63%
DEFFofanaCHE2.9£5.0m0.2%55%097%61%
MIDCaicedoCHE2.3£5.3m1%69%052%60%
MIDHendersonCHE1.7£4.9m1%37%053%80%
FWDWelbeckCHE1.3£5.8m0.7%8%042%89%
DEFGustoCHE0.6£4.8m0.7%5%010%96%
GKMartinezCHE0.5£4.9m3%8%011%96%
DEFJamesCHE0.0£5.2m3%0%000%100%
DEFHatoCHE0.0£4.5m0.6%0%000%100%
FWDJoão PedroCHE0.0£7.7m34%0%000%100%
DEFLacroixCHE0.0£5.9m5%0%000%100%

Schedule

Next fixtures

Club page →
GW11v LeedsSat 21 Nov6.8 xP best
GW12@ Nott'm ForestFri 27 Nov5.5 xP best
GW13v Crystal PalaceWed 2 Dec6.8 xP best

Armband

Captaincy relevance

Captain picks →
#2MIDPalmerCHE13.5 EV
#3MIDRogersCHE12.5 EV
#8MIDNetoCHE10.4 EV

Model selections

In the Metis Fantasy 11 and Metis FC

Gameweek 11 →

Metis Fantasy 11

Metis FC squad

Metis FC →

Methodology

Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.

Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC