Best FPL forwards, Gameweek 6.
GW6 deadline · Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 UK
Model updated
Yoane Wissa (Newcastle, £6.2m) is the top projected FPL forward for Gameweek 6 at 5.8 expected points, ahead of Haaland (5.7), with a 19% chance of a 10-point haul.
30 forwards are projected this gameweek, 19 of them likely starters; best value is Wissa at 0.94 xPts per £m and the top differential is Havertz (8.5% owned).
Ranking
Top 25 forwards by expected points
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Haul% | Floor | Ceiling | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDWissaNEW | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 93% | 19% | 1 | 13 | @ COV |
| 2 | FWDHaalandMCI | 5.7 | £15.6m | 74% | 97% | 17% | 1 | 13 | @ LIV |
| 3 | FWDHavertzARS | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 94% | 16% | 1 | 13 | v LEE |
| 4 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 5.2 | £5.6m | 4% | 87% | 18% | 1 | 12 | @ SUN |
| 5 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 95% | 11% | 1 | 12 | v BHA |
| 6 | FWDBarryEVE | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 94% | 11% | 1 | 12 | @ HUL |
| 7 | FWDIsakLIV | 4.7 | £9.1m | 22% | 95% | 11% | 1 | 11 | v MCI |
| 8 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 4.3 | £6.5m | 1% | 83% | 12% | 1 | 12 | v BRE |
| 9 | FWDMcBurnieHUL | 4.1 | £5.5m | 2% | 95% | 9% | 1 | 9 | v EVE |
| 10 | FWDThiagoBRE | 4.1 | £7.8m | 9% | 96% | 8% | 1 | 9 | @ AVL |
| 11 | FWDMarmoushTOT | 3.9 | £7.0m | 2% | 89% | 8% | 1 | 9 | @ MUN |
| 12 | FWDStrand LarsenCRY | 3.5 | £6.0m | 0.6% | 80% | 6% | 0 | 9 | v NFO |
| 13 | FWDCalvert-LewinLEE | 3.4 | £6.0m | 25% | 96% | 4% | 1 | 9 | @ ARS |
| 14 | FWDEmersonnIPS | 3.4 | £5.5m | 4% | 59% | 10% | 0 | 9 | v FUL |
| 15 | FWDGonzaloFUL | 3.3 | £6.0m | 4% | 60% | 8% | 0 | 9 | @ IPS |
| 16 | FWDDelapNFO | 3.1 | £5.6m | 3% | 83% | 4% | 0 | 9 | @ CRY |
| 17 | FWDWelbeckCHE | 2.9 | £5.9m | 1% | 51% | 7% | 0 | 9 | v BOU |
| 18 | FWDJoão PedroCHE | 2.8 | £7.7m | 66% | 38% | 11% | 0 | 11 | v BOU |
| 19 | FWDThomas-AsanteCOV | 2.8 | £5.0m | 0.8% | 53% | 6% | 0 | 9 | v NEW |
| 20 | FWDEvanilsonBOU | 2.7 | £6.0m | 3% | 60% | 5% | 0 | 8 | @ CHE |
| 21 | FWDIgor JesusNFO | 1.3 | £5.8m | 3% | 18% | 1% | 0 | 2 | @ CRY |
| 22 | FWDFlemmingIPS | 1.0 | £5.5m | 0.1% | 6% | 1% | 0 | 2 | v FUL |
| 23 | FWDSimmsCOV | 1.0 | £4.9m | 0.6% | 9% | 1% | 0 | 2 | v NEW |
| 24 | FWDGyökeresARS | 1.0 | £7.1m | 3% | 6% | 1% | 0 | 2 | v LEE |
| 25 | FWDIsidorSUN | 0.9 | £5.5m | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0 | 1 | v BHA |
xPts per £m · likely starters
Best value forwards
| # | Player | xP/£m | xPts | Price | Owned | Start% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDWissaNEW | 0.94 | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 93% | @ COV |
| 2 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 0.93 | 5.2 | £5.6m | 4% | 87% | @ SUN |
| 3 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 0.85 | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 95% | v BHA |
| 4 | FWDBarryEVE | 0.85 | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 94% | @ HUL |
| 5 | FWDMcBurnieHUL | 0.75 | 4.1 | £5.5m | 2% | 95% | v EVE |
| 6 | FWDHavertzARS | 0.72 | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 94% | v LEE |
| 7 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 0.67 | 4.3 | £6.5m | 1% | 83% | v BRE |
| 8 | FWDEmersonnIPS | 0.61 | 3.4 | £5.5m | 4% | 59% | v FUL |
| 9 | FWDStrand LarsenCRY | 0.58 | 3.5 | £6.0m | 0.6% | 80% | v NFO |
| 10 | FWDThomas-AsanteCOV | 0.56 | 2.8 | £5.0m | 0.8% | 53% | v NEW |
Under 10% owned
Differential forwards
| # | Player | xPts | Owned | Price | Start% | Haul% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDHavertzARS | 5.5 | 9% | £7.6m | 94% | 16% | v LEE |
| 2 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 5.2 | 4% | £5.6m | 87% | 18% | @ SUN |
| 3 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 4.8 | 7% | £5.7m | 95% | 11% | v BHA |
| 4 | FWDBarryEVE | 4.7 | 8% | £5.6m | 94% | 11% | @ HUL |
| 5 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 4.3 | 1% | £6.5m | 83% | 12% | v BRE |
| 6 | FWDMcBurnieHUL | 4.1 | 2% | £5.5m | 95% | 9% | v EVE |
| 7 | FWDThiagoBRE | 4.1 | 9% | £7.8m | 96% | 8% | @ AVL |
| 8 | FWDMarmoushTOT | 3.9 | 2% | £7.0m | 89% | 8% | @ MUN |
| 9 | FWDStrand LarsenCRY | 3.5 | 0.6% | £6.0m | 80% | 6% | v NFO |
| 10 | FWDDelapNFO | 3.1 | 3% | £5.6m | 83% | 4% | @ CRY |
90th percentile
Highest ceilings — forwards
| # | Player | Ceiling | xPts | Price | Owned | Haul% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDWissaNEW | 13 | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 19% | @ COV |
| 2 | FWDHaalandMCI | 13 | 5.7 | £15.6m | 74% | 17% | @ LIV |
| 3 | FWDHavertzARS | 13 | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 16% | v LEE |
| 4 | FWDKostoulasBHA | 12 | 5.2 | £5.6m | 4% | 18% | @ SUN |
| 5 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 12 | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 11% | v BHA |
| 6 | FWDBarryEVE | 12 | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 11% | @ HUL |
| 7 | FWDN.JacksonAVL | 12 | 4.3 | £6.5m | 1% | 12% | v BRE |
| 8 | FWDIsakLIV | 11 | 4.7 | £9.1m | 22% | 11% | v MCI |
| 9 | FWDMcBurnieHUL | 9 | 4.1 | £5.5m | 2% | 9% | v EVE |
| 10 | FWDThiagoBRE | 9 | 4.1 | £7.8m | 9% | 8% | @ AVL |
Start probability
Most nailed forwards
| # | Player | Start% | xPts | Price | Owned | Blank% | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FWDHaalandMCI | 97% | 5.7 | £15.6m | 74% | 52% | @ LIV |
| 2 | FWDThiagoBRE | 96% | 4.1 | £7.8m | 9% | 67% | @ AVL |
| 3 | FWDCalvert-LewinLEE | 96% | 3.4 | £6.0m | 25% | 77% | @ ARS |
| 4 | FWDBrobbeySUN | 95% | 4.8 | £5.7m | 7% | 59% | v BHA |
| 5 | FWDIsakLIV | 95% | 4.7 | £9.1m | 22% | 61% | v MCI |
| 6 | FWDMcBurnieHUL | 95% | 4.1 | £5.5m | 2% | 67% | v EVE |
| 7 | FWDHavertzARS | 94% | 5.5 | £7.6m | 9% | 53% | v LEE |
| 8 | FWDBarryEVE | 94% | 4.7 | £5.6m | 8% | 61% | @ HUL |
| 9 | FWDWissaNEW | 93% | 5.8 | £6.2m | 19% | 51% | @ COV |
| 10 | FWDMarmoushTOT | 89% | 3.9 | £7.0m | 2% | 69% | @ MUN |
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC