GW11 projected points
0.9
240th of 320
Start probability
4%
Next fixture
Haul probability
1%
10+ points
Blank risk
93%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
0.9
90th percentile
1
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Spurs
21 Nov
Aston Villa
28 Nov
Coventry City
1 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £5.5m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.17
- Rank · forwards
- 25th of 30
Read the model’s player summary
Zian Flemming (Ipswich Town, Forward, £5.5m) is projected 0.9 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 240th of 320 projected players and 25th of 30 forwards.
The model gives Flemming a 4% chance of starting, unlikely to start. Haul odds (10+ points) are 1% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 93%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-1 points.
Next up: Spurs (A) in GW11 (0.9 xP), then Aston Villa (H) in GW12 (1.0 xP), then Coventry City (A) in GW13 (1.0 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 1.1 | 1▼-0.1 | 24 | 16% | 0–2 |
| GW4 | 0.8 | 5▲+4.2 | 27 | 7% | 0–1 |
| GW5 | 0.9 | 0▼-0.9 | 9 | 7% | 0–1 |
| GW6 | 0.9 | 1▲+0.1 | 19 | 5% | 0–1 |
| GW7 | 0.7 | 5▲+4.3 | 12 | 5% | 0–1 |
| GW8 | 1.1 | 1▼-0.1 | 30 | 5% | 0–2 |
| GW9 | 1.2 | 1▼-0.2 | 13 | 4% | 0–2 |
| GW10 | 1.1 | pending | — | 4% | 0–1 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
0.9
GW12
1.0
GW13
1.0
GW14
0.9
GW15
1.0
GW16
0.8
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC.