Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 3

FPL Gameweek 3 projections & best XI.

GW3 complete · locked Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model updated

Metis projects 63.4 points for its Fantasy 11 in Gameweek 3 (3-5-2, £99.9m squad), captained by Haaland.

Best captain pick: Haaland at 14.0 captain EV, ahead of B.Fernandes (12.1).

Haaland leads the 320-player pool on 7.0 xPts across 10 Premier League fixtures.

How it went

Fantasy 11 — 56 actual vs 63.4 projected

projected 63.4·actual 56(-7.4)game average 51
PlayerProjActualΔ
LenoGK3.51-2.5
O'ReillyDEF · autosubbed out5.90-5.9
EganDEF4.06+2.0
MendyDEF3.28+4.8
SakaMID5.42-3.4
MbeumoMID5.48+2.6
HaalandCFWD7.09 (18)+2.0
WissaFWD5.91-4.9
GomezMID5.82-3.8
B.FernandesMID6.02-4.0
BarkleyMID4.43-1.4
Bench
ZettererGK · bench1.50-1.5
João PedroFWD · bench4.51-3.5
AjayiDEF · bench3.15+1.9
ThomasDEF · bench2.24+1.8

Locked 2026-09-04 09:51 UTC · deadline 2026-09-04 17:30 UTC · 1 autosub(s) applied

Best legal squad, rebuilt from scratch

Metis Fantasy 11 — Gameweek 3

Fantasy home

Armband

Captain picks — Gameweek 3

Captain picks
Captain picks GW3
#PlayerCapt EVFloorCeilingStart%Haul%Blank%
1FWDHaalandMCI14.011395%27%42%
2MIDB.FernandesMUN12.111497%23%36%
3FWDWissaNEW11.711389%20%51%
4DEFO'ReillyMCI11.711494%19%39%
5MIDGomezBHA11.611494%21%36%

This gameweek

Highest xPts, differentials, value, ceilings, floors, blank risk

Highest xPts

more →
FWDHaalandMCI7.0 xP
FWDWissaNEW5.9 xP
DEFO'ReillyMCI5.9 xP
MIDGomezBHA5.8 xP

Differentials (<10% owned)

more →
MIDGomezBHA5% own
MIDTavernierBOU2% own
MIDAndersonMCI5% own
MIDSchadeBRE4% own
MIDMcGinnAVL3% own

Best value

more →
MIDGomezBHA1.16 xP/£m
DEFEganHUL0.99 xP/£m
FWDWissaNEW0.96 xP/£m
DEFAjerBRE0.95 xP/£m
DEFO'ReillyMCI0.90 xP/£m

Highest ceiling

MIDSakaARS14 pts
MIDGomezBHA14 pts
DEFO'ReillyMCI14 pts
MIDSzoboszlaiLIV13 pts

Highest floor

MIDAndersonMCI2 pts
GKRayaARS1 pts
DEFGabrielARS1 pts
DEFCalafioriARS1 pts

Lowest blank risk

more →
DEFEganHUL35%
MIDGomezBHA36%

Ranking

Top 20 projected players — Gameweek 3

Full expected-points list
Top projected players GW3
#PlayerxPtsPriceOwnedStart%CeilingHaul%
1FWDHaalandMCI7.0£15.5m72%95%1327%
2MIDB.FernandesMUN6.0£12.0m49%97%1423%
3FWDWissaNEW5.9£6.1m14%89%1320%
4DEFO'ReillyMCI5.9£6.5m19%94%1419%
5MIDGomezBHA5.8£5.0m5%94%1421%
6MIDSzoboszlaiLIV5.5£7.0m41%96%1317%
7MIDMbeumoMUN5.4£8.0m28%96%1318%
8MIDSakaARS5.4£9.5m11%73%1421%
9MIDSchadeBRE5.2£6.0m4%96%1115%
10FWDGonzaloFUL5.1£6.0m5%92%1216%
11FWDIsakLIV5.0£9.0m17%81%1214%
12MIDAndersonMCI4.9£6.4m5%96%1010%
13FWDCalvert-LewinLEE4.7£6.0m26%96%99%
14DEFGuéhiMCI4.6£6.0m19%97%98%
15FWDThiagoBRE4.6£8.0m14%79%1212%
16FWDBarryEVE4.5£5.5m5%92%99%
17MIDGroßBHA4.5£5.5m15%97%1012%
18FWDJoão PedroCHE4.5£7.7m69%96%1112%
19MIDSemenyoMCI4.4£8.5m20%88%1013%
20MIDMcGinnAVL4.4£5.4m3%96%1012%

Fixture projections

Gameweek 3 fixtures — clean sheets & key players

Premier League
CS Ipswich Town
12%
CS Liverpool
37%
CS Newcastle
27%
CS Bournemouth
19%
CS Brentford
38%
CS Sunderland
15%

BrightonvLeeds

Sat 5 Sept
CS Brighton
34%
CS Leeds
19%
CS Fulham
29%
CS Crystal Palace
22%
CS Man City
49%
CS Coventry City
9%
CS Nott'm Forest
31%
CS Spurs
24%
CS Hull City
21%
CS Aston Villa
32%

EvertonvMan Utd

Sun 6 Sept
CS Everton
22%
CS Man Utd
31%

ArsenalvChelsea

Sun 6 Sept
CS Arsenal
36%
CS Chelsea
15%

By position

Top projected by position

GK

GKKelleherBRE£5.0m4.2
GKDonnarummaMCI£5.5m4.0
GKHorníčekNEW£5.0m3.8
GKSelsNFO£5.0m3.7
GKA.BeckerLIV£5.5m3.6

DEF

DEFO'ReillyMCI£6.5m5.9
DEFGuéhiMCI£6.0m4.6
DEFVirgilLIV£6.5m4.4
DEFCollinsBRE£5.5m4.4
DEFGvardiolMCI£5.6m4.3

MID

MIDB.FernandesMUN£12.0m6.0
MIDGomezBHA£5.0m5.8
MIDSzoboszlaiLIV£7.0m5.5
MIDMbeumoMUN£8.0m5.4
MIDSakaARS£9.5m5.4

FWD

FWDHaalandMCI£15.5m7.0
FWDWissaNEW£6.1m5.9
FWDGonzaloFUL£6.0m5.1
FWDIsakLIV£9.0m5.0
FWDCalvert-LewinLEE£6.0m4.7

Methodology

Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m. This page is the record as published before the deadline; projections are not revised after the fact.

Last updated 04 Sep · 09:51 UTC