GW7 projected points
1.7
199th of 320
Start probability
40%
Next fixture
Haul probability
3%
10+ points
Blank risk
75%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.7
90th percentile
4
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Fulham
17 Oct
Brentford
25 Oct
Ipswich Town
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £4.1m
- Ownership
- 6%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.41
- Rank · defenders
- 72nd of 114
- Clean sheet probability
- 19%
Read the model’s player summary
Nobel Mendy (Hull City, Defender, £4.1m) is projected 1.7 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 199th of 320 projected players and 72nd of 114 defenders.
The model gives Mendy a 40% chance of starting, more likely benched than starting. Haul odds (10+ points) are 3% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 75%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-4 points.
Hull City keep a clean sheet in 19% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Fulham (A) in GW7 (1.7 xP), then Brentford (H) in GW8 (1.9 xP), then Ipswich Town (H) in GW9 (2.2 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3F11 | 3.2 | 8▲+4.8 | 70 | 76% | 0–8 |
| GW4 | 2.8 | 1▼-1.8 | 58 | 87% | 0–7 |
| GW5 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW6 | 1.9 | pending | — | 40% | 0–6 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
1.7
GW8
1.9
GW9
2.2
GW10
1.4
GW11
1.8
GW12
1.9
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.