Metis FC and the Fantasy 11 against the field.
9 gameweeks settled
Model updated
Two scoreboards, settled from official FPL points after every gameweek. Metis FC is the model's own persistent entry — real transfers, real chips, no retrospective overrides — measured against the average manager and the crowd's most-owned XI.
The Fantasy 11 is the best legal squad the model would build from scratch each week, scored as a fresh team, against the same template and the average manager on the same official points.
Metis FC
475
9 settled GW
Metis FC vs field
-33
field 508 over the same GWs
Fantasy 11
391
7 settled GW (from GW3)
Fantasy 11 vs field
+14
field 377 over the same GWs
Metis FC
Metis FC vs the field and the template
| GW | Metis FC | Projected | Field avg | Template XI | Best score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 43 | — | 50 | — | 131 |
| GW2 | 101 | 53 | 81 | — | 161 |
| GW3 | 45 | 63 | 51 | 43 | 119 |
| GW4 | 53 | 61 | 69 | 92 | 151 |
| GW5 | 48 | 64 | 48 | 40 | 126 |
| GW6 | 43 | 66 | 58 | 81 | 131 |
| GW7 | 56 | 63 | 59 | 58 | 122 |
| GW8 | 43 | 63 | 45 | 26 | 120 |
| GW9 | 43 | 57 | 47 | 49 | 122 |
| GW10in play | — | 59* | 2* | — | 71* |
| Total (settled) | 475/9 | 490/8 | 508/9 | 389/7 | 1183/9 |
Estimated standing vs the field over the same gameweeks: top ~61.6–64.7% (season spread 180–230 points scaled to gameweeks played).
Fantasy 11
Fantasy 11 vs the template
| GW | Fantasy 11 | Projected | Template XI | Field avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | — | — | — | 50 |
| GW2 | — | — | — | 81 |
| GW3 | 56 | 63 | 43 | 51 |
| GW4 | 59 | 61 | 92 | 69 |
| GW5 | 51 | 67 | 40 | 48 |
| GW6 | 41 | 69 | 81 | 58 |
| GW7 | 81 | 70 | 58 | 59 |
| GW8 | 47 | 63 | 26 | 45 |
| GW9 | 56 | 64 | 49 | 47 |
| GW10in play | — | 64* | — | 2* |
| Total (settled) | 391/7 | 458/7 | 389/7 | 508/9 |
Each row settles from official FPL points once the gameweek is marked finished. For scale, the overall leaderboard leaders at publish time: #1 743 pts · #2 721 pts · #3 698 pts.
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC