Metis FC and the Fantasy 11 against the field.
5 gameweeks settled
Model updated
Two scoreboards, settled from official FPL points after every gameweek. Metis FC is the model's own persistent entry — real transfers, real chips, no retrospective overrides — measured against the average manager and the crowd's most-owned XI.
The Fantasy 11 is the best legal squad the model would build from scratch each week, scored as a fresh team, against the same template and the average manager on the same official points.
Metis FC
290
5 settled GW
Metis FC vs field
-9
field 299 over the same GWs
Fantasy 11
166
3 settled GW (from GW3)
Fantasy 11 vs field
-2
field 168 over the same GWs
Metis FC
Metis FC vs the field and the template
| GW | Metis FC | Projected | Field avg | Template XI | Best score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 43 | — | 50 | — | 131 |
| GW2 | 101 | 53 | 81 | — | 161 |
| GW3 | 45 | 63 | 51 | 43 | 119 |
| GW4 | 53 | 61 | 69 | 92 | 151 |
| GW5 | 48 | 64 | 48 | 40 | 126 |
| Total (settled) | 290/5 | 241/4 | 299/5 | 175/3 | 688/5 |
Estimated standing vs the field over the same gameweeks: top ~54.3–55.5% (season spread 180–230 points scaled to gameweeks played).
Fantasy 11
Fantasy 11 vs the template
| GW | Fantasy 11 | Projected | Template XI | Field avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | — | — | — | 50 |
| GW2 | — | — | — | 81 |
| GW3 | 56 | 63 | 43 | 51 |
| GW4 | 59 | 61 | 92 | 69 |
| GW5 | 51 | 67 | 40 | 48 |
| Total (settled) | 166/3 | 192/3 | 175/3 | 299/5 |
Each row settles from official FPL points once the gameweek is marked finished. For scale, the overall leaderboard leaders at publish time: #1 468 pts · #2 456 pts · #3 456 pts.
Methodology
Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.
Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC