Football,
in probabilities.
Match forecasts across 26 leagues and Premier League player projections, built from the full distribution.
Featured matchPremier League
Arsenal
Leeds
Win probability
70%
Home
18%
Draw
11%
Away
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.77
Home · away xG
Top scorelines
2–013%
1–011%
2–110%
Sat 10 Oct 11:30 · market-anchoredView match centre →
Upcoming fixtures
View all →7 Oct16:00
Gnistan v Inter Turku
7 Oct22:30
Remo v Gremio
7 Oct22:30
Bragantino v Mirassol
7 Oct22:30
Internacional v Corinthians
Metis Fantasy 11
Gameweek 6
Projected points
66.9
What changed overnight?
Gnistan v Inter TurkuInter Turku win probability-4.3pp54% → 49%
Ludogorets Razgrad v ArdaLudogorets Razgrad win probability+3.8pp57% → 60%
Atlanta Utd v FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati win probability+3.1pp34% → 37%
Inter Miami v DC UnitedInter Miami win probability-3.0pp72% → 69%
Deterministic model updates between the last two runs · updated
