GW7 projected points
4.2
38th of 320
Start probability
64%
Next fixture
Haul probability
13%
10+ points
Blank risk
65%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
4.2
90th percentile
12
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Hull City
17 Oct
Coventry City
24 Oct
Aston Villa
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £6.1m
- Ownership
- 7%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.69
- Rank · forwards
- 9th of 30
Read the model’s player summary
Gonzalo García (Fulham, Forward, £6.1m) is projected 4.2 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 38th of 320 projected players and 9th of 30 forwards.
The model gives Gonzalo a 64% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 13% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 65%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-12 points.
Next up: Hull City (H) in GW7 (4.2 xP), then Coventry City (A) in GW8 (3.7 xP), then Aston Villa (A) in GW9 (3.2 xP).
This week Gonzalo is a differential at 7.3% ownership (22nd on the differentials list).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 5.1 | 2▼-3.1 | 90 | 92% | 1–12 |
| GW4 | 2.6 | 2▼-0.6 | 76 | 59% | 0–8 |
| GW5 | 4.3 | 2▼-2.3 | 79 | 96% | 1–9 |
| GW6 | 3.6 | pending | — | 63% | 0–9 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
4.2
GW8
3.7
GW9
3.2
GW10
3.8
GW11
2.6
GW12
3.7
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.