GW7 projected points
5.9
6th of 320
Start probability
96%
Next fixture
Haul probability
22%
10+ points
Blank risk
33%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.9
90th percentile
14
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Crystal Palace
18 Oct
Liverpool
25 Oct
Man City
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £6.0m
- Ownership
- 37%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.98
- Rank · midfielders
- 4th of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Pascal Groß (Brighton, Midfielder, £6.0m) is projected 5.9 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 6th of 320 projected players and 4th of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Groß a 96% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 22% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 33%, a genuine haul candidate; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-14 points.
Next up: Crystal Palace (H) in GW7 (5.9 xP), then Liverpool (A) in GW8 (4.7 xP), then Man City (A) in GW9 (3.9 xP).
This week Groß is 6th for value at 0.98 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 4.5 | 1▼-3.5 | 90 | 97% | 1–10 |
| GW4 | 4.8 | 17▲+12.2 | 90 | 97% | 1–11 |
| GW5 | 4.1 | 14▲+9.9 | 90 | 98% | 1–10 |
| GW6 | 4.9 | pending | — | 96% | 1–12 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.9
GW8
4.7
GW9
3.9
GW10
5.3
GW11
5.0
GW12
5.7
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.