Metis·FootballFPL · Gameweek 6

Arsenal FPL players, xPts & likely starters.

GW6 · Leeds (H) · Sat 10 Oct

Model updated

Arsenal have 16 projected FPL players and 9 likely starters for Gameweek 6, playing Leeds (H). Top projection: Saka at 6.9 xPts.

Clean-sheet probability 52% · best value Konsa (0.83 xPts per £m) · differential Havertz (8.5% owned).

Clean sheet

52%

this gameweek

Best pick

Saka

6.9 xPts · £9.5m

Likely starters

9

of 16 projected

XI xPts

40.7

summed likely starters

By start probability

Likely starters

Start probabilities

GK

Raya97%

FWD

The goalkeeper plus the ten outfielders most likely to start — a probability ranking, not a formation prediction.

Every projected player

Arsenal FPL projections · GW6

Full table
Arsenal FPL projections
PlayerxPtsPriceOwnedStart%FloorCeilingHaul%Blank%
MIDSakaARS6.9£9.5m14%95%11529%29%
FWDHavertzARS5.5£7.6m9%94%11316%53%
DEFGabrielARS5.0£8.0m23%97%11011%34%
MIDØdegaardARS4.7£6.8m20%95%11113%37%
DEFCalafioriARS4.3£5.8m51%95%187%46%
GKRayaARS4.1£6.1m42%97%182%45%
DEFKonsaARS3.8£4.6m19%87%174%50%
MIDTzolisARS3.5£6.3m12%92%186%48%
MIDRiceARS2.9£7.4m12%73%063%51%
MIDBruno G.ARS2.4£6.7m2%38%087%71%
DEFJ.TimberARS1.9£6.5m0.4%37%063%78%
DEFWhiteARS1.6£5.5m5%31%062%82%
MIDLewis-SkellyARS1.3£5.4m0.6%37%031%82%
FWDGyökeresARS1.0£7.1m3%6%021%92%
MIDZubimendiARS0.8£5.3m0.6%7%010%94%
GKArrizabalagaARS0.0£4.9m0.1%0%000%100%

Schedule

Next fixtures

Club page
GW6v LeedsSat 10 Oct6.9 xP best
GW7@ Nott'm ForestSun 18 Oct5.9 xP best
GW8v EvertonSat 24 Oct6.8 xP best

Armband

Captaincy relevance

Captain picks
#1MIDSakaARS13.8 EV
#6FWDHavertzARS11.0 EV
#13DEFGabrielARS10.1 EV

Model selections

In the Metis Fantasy 11 and Metis FC

Gameweek 6

Metis Fantasy 11

Metis FC squad

Metis FC →

Methodology

Projections come from the Metis club match model (goal-expectation and scoreline distributions per fixture), converted to FPL points through a simulated minutes / goals / assists / clean-sheet engine. Floor = p10, ceiling = p90, haul = >=10pts, blank = <=2pts; start% is the modelled probability of starting; value = xPts per £m.

Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC