GW11 projected points
3.7
63rd of 320
Start probability
66%
Next fixture
Haul probability
11%
10+ points
Blank risk
56%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
3.7
90th percentile
10
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Newcastle
21 Nov
Man City
29 Nov
Brentford
2 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £6.7m
- Ownership
- 2%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.55
- Rank · midfielders
- 32nd of 135
Read the model’s player summary
Bruno Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (Arsenal, Midfielder, £6.7m) is projected 3.7 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 63rd of 320 projected players and 32nd of 135 midfielders.
The model gives Bruno G. a 66% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 11% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 56%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-10 points.
Next up: Newcastle (A) in GW11 (3.7 xP), then Man City (H) in GW12 (3.3 xP), then Brentford (A) in GW13 (3.4 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 1.5 | 0▼-1.5 | 0 | 14% | 0–4 |
| GW4 | 0.8 | 7▲+6.2 | 45 | 7% | 0–1 |
| GW5 | 1.5 | 1▼-0.5 | 59 | 16% | 0–4 |
| GW6 | 2.6 | 9▲+6.4 | 27 | 36% | 0–9 |
| GW7 | 2.1 | 3▲+0.9 | 65 | 36% | 0–6 |
| GW8 | 4.0 | 1▼-3.0 | 22 | 63% | 0–11 |
| GW9 | 2.4 | 3▲+0.6 | 61 | 37% | 0–7 |
| GW10 | 4.9 | pending | — | 68% | 0–13 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
3.7
GW12
3.3
GW13
3.4
GW14
3.5
GW15
3.9
GW16
3.8
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC.