GW6 projected points
1.9
204th of 320
Start probability
37%
Next fixture
Haul probability
3%
10+ points
Blank risk
78%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.9
90th percentile
6
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Leeds
10 Oct
Nott'm Forest
18 Oct
Everton
24 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £6.5m
- Ownership
- 0.4%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.29
- Rank · defenders
- 74th of 112
- Clean sheet probability
- 52%
Read the model’s player summary
Jurriën Timber (Arsenal, Defender, £6.5m) is projected 1.9 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 204th of 320 projected players and 74th of 112 defenders.
The model gives J.Timber a 37% chance of starting, more likely benched than starting. Haul odds (10+ points) are 3% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 78%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-6 points.
Arsenal keep a clean sheet in 52% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Leeds (H) in GW6 (1.9 xP), then Nott'm Forest (A) in GW7 (1.6 xP), then Everton (H) in GW8 (1.7 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
1.9
GW7
1.6
GW8
1.7
GW9
1.4
GW10
1.9
GW11
1.5
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.