GW7 projected points
5.1
17th of 320
Start probability
95%
Next fixture
Haul probability
12%
10+ points
Blank risk
59%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.1
90th percentile
12
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Man Utd
18 Oct
Sunderland
25 Oct
Bournemouth
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £6.0m
- Ownership
- 23%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.85
- Rank · forwards
- 5th of 30
Read the model’s player summary
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds, Forward, £6.0m) is projected 5.1 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 17th of 320 projected players and 5th of 30 forwards.
The model gives Calvert-Lewin a 95% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 12% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 59%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-12 points.
Next up: Man Utd (H) in GW7 (5.1 xP), then Sunderland (A) in GW8 (4.5 xP), then Bournemouth (A) in GW9 (4.7 xP).
This week Calvert-Lewin is 18th for value at 0.85 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 4.7 | 1▼-3.7 | 72 | 96% | 1–9 |
| GW4 | 4.9 | 10▲+5.1 | 77 | 97% | 1–11 |
| GW5 | 5.6 | 2▼-3.6 | 90 | 98% | 1–13 |
| GW6 | 3.6 | pending | — | 95% | 1–9 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.1
GW8
4.5
GW9
4.7
GW10
5.5
GW11
4.7
GW12
6.0
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.