GW7 projected points
5.6
11th of 320
Start probability
96%
Next fixture
Haul probability
18%
10+ points
Blank risk
46%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.6
90th percentile
13
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Leeds
18 Oct
Bournemouth
25 Oct
Chelsea
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £7.9m
- Ownership
- 20%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.71
- Rank · midfielders
- 7th of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd, Midfielder, £7.9m) is projected 5.6 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 11th of 320 projected players and 7th of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Mbeumo a 96% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 18% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 46%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-13 points.
Next up: Leeds (A) in GW7 (5.6 xP), then Bournemouth (H) in GW8 (6.6 xP), then Chelsea (A) in GW9 (5.6 xP).
This week Mbeumo is in the Metis Fantasy 11.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3F11 | 5.4 | 8▲+2.6 | 90 | 96% | 1–13 |
| GW4F11 | 4.8 | 2▼-2.8 | 90 | 95% | 1–11 |
| GW5F11 | 5.4 | 2▼-3.4 | 90 | 92% | 1–13 |
| GW6F11 | 6.8 | pending | — | 96% | 1–15 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.6
GW8
6.6
GW9
5.6
GW10
6.1
GW11
5.1
GW12
5.9
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.