GW7 projected points
5.1
16th of 320
Start probability
93%
Next fixture
Haul probability
18%
10+ points
Blank risk
44%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.1
90th percentile
13
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Hull City
17 Oct
Coventry City
24 Oct
Aston Villa
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.6m
- Ownership
- 5%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.92
- Rank · midfielders
- 11th of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Josh King (Fulham, Midfielder, £5.6m) is projected 5.1 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 16th of 320 projected players and 11th of 136 midfielders.
The model gives King a 93% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 18% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 44%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-13 points.
Next up: Hull City (H) in GW7 (5.1 xP), then Coventry City (A) in GW8 (4.6 xP), then Aston Villa (A) in GW9 (3.9 xP).
This week King is a differential at 4.7% ownership (8th on the differentials list), 8th for value at 0.92 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.9 | 10▲+6.2 | 90 | 90% | 1–9 |
| GW4 | 3.4 | 3▼-0.4 | 76 | 92% | 1–9 |
| GW5 | 3.7 | 2▼-1.7 | 79 | 94% | 1–9 |
| GW6 | 4.5 | pending | — | 94% | 1–11 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.1
GW8
4.6
GW9
3.9
GW10
4.6
GW11
3.2
GW12
4.5
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.