GW7 projected points
5.7
9th of 320
Start probability
88%
Next fixture
Haul probability
18%
10+ points
Blank risk
53%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.7
90th percentile
13
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Coventry City
19 Oct
Chelsea
24 Oct
Crystal Palace
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £7.0m
- Ownership
- 2%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.81
- Rank · forwards
- 4th of 30
Read the model’s player summary
Omar Marmoush (Spurs, Forward, £7.0m) is projected 5.7 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 9th of 320 projected players and 4th of 30 forwards.
The model gives Marmoush a 88% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 18% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 53%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-13 points.
Next up: Coventry City (H) in GW7 (5.7 xP), then Chelsea (A) in GW8 (4.3 xP), then Crystal Palace (H) in GW9 (4.9 xP).
This week Marmoush is a differential at 2.2% ownership (4th on the differentials list), 29th for value at 0.81 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.4 | 2▼-0.4 | 83 | 42% | 0–8 |
| GW4 | 3.5 | 2▼-1.5 | 76 | 51% | 0–9 |
| GW5 | 3.3 | 2▼-1.3 | 90 | 55% | 0–9 |
| GW6 | 4.2 | pending | — | 89% | 1–11 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.7
GW8
4.3
GW9
4.9
GW10
4.1
GW11
5.5
GW12
4.1
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.