GW6 projected points
4.1
35th of 320
Start probability
72%
Next fixture
Haul probability
14%
10+ points
Blank risk
56%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
4.1
90th percentile
12
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Bournemouth
10 Oct
Everton
17 Oct
Spurs
24 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £9.7m
- Ownership
- 26%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.42
- Rank · midfielders
- 18th of 138
Read the model’s player summary
Cole Palmer (Chelsea, Midfielder, £9.7m) is projected 4.1 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 35th of 320 projected players and 18th of 138 midfielders.
The model gives Palmer a 72% chance of starting, a probable starter. Haul odds (10+ points) are 14% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 56%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-12 points.
Next up: Bournemouth (H) in GW6 (4.1 xP), then Everton (A) in GW7 (4.5 xP), then Spurs (H) in GW8 (5.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.5 | 1▼-2.5 | 90 | 86% | 1–9 |
| GW4 | 6.0 | 5▼-1.0 | 90 | 96% | 1–14 |
| GW5 | 4.8 | 2▼-2.8 | 90 | 96% | 1–11 |
| GW6 | 4.1latest | pending | — | 72% | 0–12 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
4.1
GW7
4.5
GW8
5.9
GW9
5.1
GW10
4.8
GW11
5.2
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.