MidfielderMetis Fantasy 11

Cole Palmer

Chelsea · Gameweek 11

Model updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC

GW11 projected points

6.8

2nd of 320

Start probability

96%

Next fixture

Haul probability

28%

10+ points

Blank risk

36%

2 points or fewer

Projected points range

10th percentile

Mean projection

6.8

90th percentile

10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.

Next fixtures

GW11Home

Leeds

21 Nov

6.8projected points

GW12Away

Nott'm Forest

27 Nov

5.5projected points

GW13Home

Crystal Palace

2 Dec

6.8projected points

Player context

Price: £9.8m
Ownership: 29%
Value · xPts per £m: 0.69
Rank · midfielders: 1st of 135

Read the model’s player summary

Cole Palmer (Chelsea, Midfielder, £9.8m) is projected 6.8 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 2nd of 320 projected players and 1st of 135 midfielders.

The model gives Palmer a 96% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 28% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 36%, a genuine haul candidate; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-15 points.

Next up: Leeds (H) in GW11 (6.8 xP), then Nott'm Forest (A) in GW12 (5.5 xP), then Crystal Palace (H) in GW13 (6.8 xP).

This week Palmer is vice-captain of the Metis Fantasy 11, the 2nd-ranked captain pick.

Projection record

How projections are scored →

GW	Snapshot xPts	Actual	Minutes	Start%	Range
GW3	3.5	1▼-2.5	90	86%	1–9
GW4	6.0	5▼-1.0	90	96%	1–14
GW5	4.8	2▼-2.8	90	96%	1–11
GW6	5.4	8▲+2.6	87	96%	1–13
GW7	4.7	2▼-2.7	90	96%	1–11
GW8F11	4.9	-1▼-5.9	79	98%	1–11
GW9F11	5.8	8▲+2.2	90	97%	1–14
GW10F11	6.0	pending	—	98%	1–14

Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.

Projection by gameweek

GW11

6.8

GW12

5.5

GW13

6.8

GW14

5.8

GW15

4.2

GW16

5.9

Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.

Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC.