GW11 projected points
5.2
8th of 320
Start probability
96%
Next fixture
Haul probability
18%
10+ points
Blank risk
43%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.2
90th percentile
13
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Leeds
21 Nov
Nott'm Forest
27 Nov
Crystal Palace
2 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £6.6m
- Ownership
- 5%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.79
- Rank · midfielders
- 5th of 135
Read the model’s player summary
Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea, Midfielder, £6.6m) is projected 5.2 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 8th of 320 projected players and 5th of 135 midfielders.
The model gives Neto a 96% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 18% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 43%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-13 points.
Next up: Leeds (H) in GW11 (5.2 xP), then Nott'm Forest (A) in GW12 (4.3 xP), then Crystal Palace (H) in GW13 (5.2 xP).
This week Neto is a differential at 5.1% ownership (1st on the differentials list), 26th for value at 0.79 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.3 | 2▼-0.3 | 80 | 69% | 0–5 |
| GW4 | 3.8 | 2▼-1.8 | 85 | 85% | 1–9 |
| GW5 | 3.2 | 2▼-1.2 | 86 | 91% | 1–8 |
| GW6 | 3.7 | 5▲+1.3 | 82 | 91% | 1–9 |
| GW7 | 3.2 | 15▲+11.8 | 90 | 91% | 1–7 |
| GW8 | 4.2 | 3▼-1.2 | 87 | 97% | 1–10 |
| GW9 | 5.0 | 3▼-2.0 | 86 | 97% | 1–12 |
| GW10 | 4.7 | pending | — | 97% | 1–11 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
5.2
GW12
4.3
GW13
5.2
GW14
4.5
GW15
3.3
GW16
4.6
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC.