GW7 projected points
5.4
13th of 320
Start probability
95%
Next fixture
Haul probability
20%
10+ points
Blank risk
43%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
5.4
90th percentile
13
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Brentford
17 Oct
Brighton
25 Oct
Arsenal
1 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £7.3m
- Ownership
- 5%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.74
- Rank · midfielders
- 9th of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Florian Wirtz (Liverpool, Midfielder, £7.3m) is projected 5.4 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 13th of 320 projected players and 9th of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Wirtz a 95% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 20% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 43%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-13 points.
Next up: Brentford (A) in GW7 (5.4 xP), then Brighton (H) in GW8 (5.0 xP), then Arsenal (H) in GW9 (3.5 xP).
This week Wirtz is a differential at 5.4% ownership (5th on the differentials list).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.8 | 3▼-0.8 | 90 | 70% | 0–10 |
| GW4 | 3.7 | 3▼-0.7 | 90 | 68% | 0–10 |
| GW5 | 3.2 | 6▲+2.8 | 70 | 66% | 0–9 |
| GW6 | 4.9 | pending | — | 95% | 1–12 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
5.4
GW8
5.0
GW9
3.5
GW10
4.1
GW11
4.3
GW12
3.8
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.