GW7 projected points
2.9
134th of 320
Start probability
55%
Next fixture
Haul probability
6%
10+ points
Blank risk
62%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
2.9
90th percentile
8
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Sunderland
18 Oct
Man Utd
25 Oct
Leeds
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.0m
- Ownership
- 0.6%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.57
- Rank · defenders
- 46th of 114
- Clean sheet probability
- 35%
Read the model’s player summary
António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva (Bournemouth, Defender, £5.0m) is projected 2.9 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 134th of 320 projected players and 46th of 114 defenders.
The model gives Silva a 55% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 6% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 62%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-8 points.
Bournemouth keep a clean sheet in 35% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Sunderland (H) in GW7 (2.9 xP), then Man Utd (A) in GW8 (1.9 xP), then Leeds (H) in GW9 (2.6 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.1 | 1▼-2.1 | 90 | 93% | 0–8 |
| GW4 | 3.5 | 3▼-0.5 | 90 | 95% | 1–8 |
| GW5 | 2.0 | 3▲+1.0 | 90 | 55% | 0–6 |
| GW6 | 2.1 | pending | — | 55% | 0–6 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
2.9
GW8
1.9
GW9
2.6
GW10
2.5
GW11
2.6
GW12
2.3
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.