GW7 projected points
4.3
33rd of 320
Start probability
96%
Next fixture
Haul probability
11%
10+ points
Blank risk
44%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
4.3
90th percentile
10
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Hull City
17 Oct
Coventry City
24 Oct
Aston Villa
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.4m
- Ownership
- 0.7%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.80
- Rank · midfielders
- 18th of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Alex Iwobi (Fulham, Midfielder, £5.4m) is projected 4.3 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 33rd of 320 projected players and 18th of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Iwobi a 96% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 11% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 44%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-10 points.
Next up: Hull City (H) in GW7 (4.3 xP), then Coventry City (A) in GW8 (3.9 xP), then Aston Villa (A) in GW9 (3.4 xP).
This week Iwobi is a differential at 0.7% ownership (19th on the differentials list), 30th for value at 0.80 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.6 | 2▼-1.6 | 82 | 97% | 1–8 |
| GW4 | 2.9 | 3▲+0.1 | 76 | 98% | 1–6 |
| GW5 | 3.2 | 5▲+1.8 | 70 | 98% | 1–7 |
| GW6 | 3.8 | pending | — | 97% | 1–9 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
4.3
GW8
3.9
GW9
3.4
GW10
3.9
GW11
2.9
GW12
3.8
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.