GW7 projected points
3.4
85th of 320
Start probability
92%
Next fixture
Haul probability
3%
10+ points
Blank risk
43%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
3.4
90th percentile
6
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Chelsea
17 Oct
Arsenal
24 Oct
Newcastle
2 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £6.0m
- Ownership
- 0.2%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.57
- Rank · midfielders
- 38th of 136
Read the model’s player summary
James Garner (Everton, Midfielder, £6.0m) is projected 3.4 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 85th of 320 projected players and 38th of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Garner a 92% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 3% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 43%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-6 points.
Next up: Chelsea (H) in GW7 (3.4 xP), then Arsenal (A) in GW8 (3.0 xP), then Newcastle (A) in GW9 (3.4 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.8 | 2▼-0.8 | 76 | 72% | 0–5 |
| GW4 | 3.1 | 4▲+0.9 | 90 | 86% | 1–6 |
| GW5 | 3.7 | 3▼-0.7 | 90 | 92% | 1–7 |
| GW6 | 3.6 | pending | — | 93% | 1–7 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
3.4
GW8
3.0
GW9
3.4
GW10
3.9
GW11
3.3
GW12
3.5
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.