GW11 projected points
2.6
160th of 320
Start probability
96%
Next fixture
Haul probability
2%
10+ points
Blank risk
73%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
2.6
90th percentile
7
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Aston Villa
21 Nov
Spurs
29 Nov
Liverpool
2 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £4.9m
- Ownership
- 2%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.53
- Rank · goalkeepers
- 17th of 40
- Clean sheet probability
- 21%
Read the model’s player summary
Robin Roefs (Sunderland, Goalkeeper, £4.9m) is projected 2.6 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 160th of 320 projected players and 17th of 40 goalkeepers.
The model gives Roefs a 96% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 2% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 73%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-7 points.
Sunderland keep a clean sheet in 21% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Aston Villa (A) in GW11 (2.6 xP), then Spurs (H) in GW12 (3.3 xP), then Liverpool (A) in GW13 (2.3 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.5 | 2▼-0.5 | 90 | 98% | 1–6 |
| GW4 | 2.4 | 2▼-0.4 | 90 | 98% | 1–6 |
| GW5 | 1.9 | 0▼-1.9 | 90 | 98% | 0–3 |
| GW6 | 3.0 | 1▼-2.0 | 90 | 96% | 1–8 |
| GW7 | 2.7 | 2▼-0.7 | 90 | 96% | 1–7 |
| GW8 | 3.1 | 9▲+5.9 | 90 | 98% | 1–8 |
| GW9 | 3.3 | 1▼-2.3 | 90 | 98% | 1–8 |
| GW10 | 2.7 | pending | — | 98% | 1–7 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
2.6
GW12
3.3
GW13
2.3
GW14
2.6
GW15
3.4
GW16
3.5
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC.