Chelsea vs Leeds — Premier League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Premier League·Saturday, 21 November 2026·15:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.81 |
| Draw | 3.83 |
| Leeds | 4.20 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Fantasy impact · GW11
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Chelsea
| 24 Aug | A | vs Fulham | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brighton | 4–3 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Arsenal | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Hull | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Brentford | 0–3 | L |
Leeds
| 22 Aug | A | vs Nottm Forest | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brentford | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Brighton | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Newcastle | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Crystal Palace | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Chelsea (Home · 5 matches) | Leeds (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.20 | 1.60 |
Home stats use Chelsea's home record; away stats use Leeds's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.