Newcastle vs Arsenal — Premier League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Premier League·Saturday, 21 November 2026·17:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Newcastle | 5.46 |
| Draw | 4.11 |
| Arsenal | 1.60 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Fantasy impact · GW11
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Newcastle
| 23 Aug | H | vs Liverpool | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Tottenham | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Bournemouth | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Leeds | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Hull | 2–1 | W |
Arsenal
| 21 Aug | H | vs Coventry | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Aston Villa | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Chelsea | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Sunderland | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Brighton | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Newcastle (Home · 5 matches) | Arsenal (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 80.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 1.60 |
Home stats use Newcastle's home record; away stats use Arsenal's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.