Liverpool vs Man Utd — Premier League forecast, Sunday, 22 November 2026

Premier League·Sunday, 22 November 2026·16:30
Liverpool

vs

16:30

4th vs 18th

Man Utd

Market odds

MarketPinnacle
Liverpool1.72
Draw4.28
Man Utd4.45

Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.

Reference prices, published with the 10 Nov · 04:35 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.

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Liverpool

23 AugAvs Newcastle2–2D
29 AugHvs Nottm Forest2–2D
4 SeptAvs Ipswich2–0W
12 SeptHvs Fulham0–0D
20 SeptAvs Bournemouth1–0W

Man Utd

22 AugAvs Hull0–2L
30 AugHvs Ipswich5–2W
6 SeptAvs Everton2–2D
13 SeptHvs Man City0–1L
20 SeptAvs Fulham1–1D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatLiverpool
(Home · 5 matches)
Man Utd
(Away · 5 matches)
BTTS rate20.0%60.0%
Over 2.5 rate40.0%20.0%
Clean sheet40.0%0.0%
Avg goals2.002.40

Home stats use Liverpool's home record; away stats use Man Utd's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.