Aston Villa vs Sunderland — Premier League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Premier League·Saturday, 21 November 2026·15:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.71 |
| Draw | 3.96 |
| Sunderland | 4.69 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Fantasy impact · GW11
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Aston Villa
| 23 Aug | A | vs Brighton | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Arsenal | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Hull | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Nottm Forest | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Tottenham | 3–2 | W |
Sunderland
| 22 Aug | A | vs Ipswich | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Fulham | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Brentford | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Arsenal | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Man City | 3–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Aston Villa (Home · 5 matches) | Sunderland (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Aston Villa's home record; away stats use Sunderland's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.