GW6 projected points
3.8
57th of 320
Start probability
68%
Next fixture
Haul probability
13%
10+ points
Blank risk
57%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
3.8
90th percentile
10
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Spurs
10 Oct
Leeds
18 Oct
Bournemouth
25 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £7.0m
- Ownership
- 2%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.54
- Rank · midfielders
- 30th of 138
Read the model’s player summary
Marcus Rashford (Man Utd, Midfielder, £7.0m) is projected 3.8 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 57th of 320 projected players and 30th of 138 midfielders.
The model gives Rashford a 68% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 13% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 57%, a moderate haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-10 points.
Next up: Spurs (H) in GW6 (3.8 xP), then Leeds (A) in GW7 (4.1 xP), then Bournemouth (H) in GW8 (4.5 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.3 | 3▲+0.7 | 69 | 42% | 0–8 |
| GW4 | 2.4 | 2▼-0.4 | 82 | 50% | 0–7 |
| GW5 | 2.9 | 2▼-0.9 | 76 | 54% | 0–8 |
| GW6 | 3.8latest | pending | — | 68% | 0–10 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
3.8
GW7
4.1
GW8
4.5
GW9
3.7
GW10
4.6
GW11
3.5
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.