GW7 projected points
4.3
32nd of 320
Start probability
92%
Next fixture
Haul probability
10%
10+ points
Blank risk
49%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
4.3
90th percentile
9
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Coventry City
19 Oct
Chelsea
24 Oct
Crystal Palace
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.0m
- Ownership
- 4%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.87
- Rank · defenders
- 7th of 114
- Clean sheet probability
- 44%
Read the model’s player summary
Micky van de Ven (Spurs, Defender, £5.0m) is projected 4.3 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 32nd of 320 projected players and 7th of 114 defenders.
The model gives Van de Ven a 92% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 10% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 49%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-9 points.
Spurs keep a clean sheet in 44% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Coventry City (H) in GW7 (4.3 xP), then Chelsea (A) in GW8 (2.4 xP), then Crystal Palace (H) in GW9 (3.6 xP).
This week Van de Ven is a differential at 3.7% ownership (18th on the differentials list), 15th for value at 0.87 xPts per £m.
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.4 | 9▲+6.6 | 90 | 71% | 0–6 |
| GW4 | 3.4 | 6▲+2.6 | 90 | 85% | 0–8 |
| GW5 | 3.4 | 1▼-2.4 | 90 | 92% | 0–8 |
| GW6 | 2.4 | pending | — | 92% | 0–7 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
4.3
GW8
2.4
GW9
3.6
GW10
2.7
GW11
3.7
GW12
3.0
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.