USA

MLS

Season

2026

Teams

Played

406

Goals / match

3.22

BTTS rate

63%

Over 2.5 rate

63%

Result environment

46% home wins26% draws29% away wins

Share of settled 2026 results.

Upcoming fixtures

12 shown

10 Oct
17:00Toronto FC v CF Montreal50%24%26%10 Oct
18:30Chicago Fire v New York City49%25%26%10 Oct
23:30Orlando City v Columbus Crew46%23%30%10 Oct
23:30Charlotte v FC Dallas43%24%33%10 Oct
23:30New York Red Bulls v San Diego FC37%24%38%10 Oct
23:30Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake68%18%15%10 Oct
23:30Inter Miami v DC United69%17%14%10 Oct
23:30Atlanta Utd v FC Cincinnati38%25%37%10 Oct
23:30New England Revolution v Seattle Sounders51%23%25%11 Oct
00:30Austin FC v Nashville SC24%25%50%11 Oct
00:30Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers40%22%37%11 Oct
00:30Minnesota United v Houston Dynamo46%26%28%

home · draw · away — Metis Forecast

Model record · since 29 August 2026

Forecasts settled

Top pick landed

37/92

Mean RPS

0.2190

Market-anchored

93%

Every 2026 fixture Metis published a forecast for and that has since settled, from 29 Aug to 2 Oct. Each row is frozen at the last publish before kick-off and is never re-computed. 93% of them were market-anchored, so this is the record of the published forecast rather than of the independent model. RPS is a loss: lower is better.

Settled fixtures with the Metis forecast as it stood before kick-off
Date	Fixture	Pre-match H · D · A	Result	Pick
2 Oct	Seattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City	65% · 18% · 17%	2–1	Top pick landed
30 Sept	New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City	27% · 22% · 51%	0–3	Top pick landed
27 Sept	Austin v San Diego	39% · 26% · 35%	3–3	Top pick missed
27 Sept	Columbus Crew v Inter Miami	34% · 23% · 43%	2–1	Top pick missed
27 Sept	FC Dallas v Los Angeles FC	42% · 26% · 33%	1–0	Top pick landed
27 Sept	Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City	61% · 21% · 18%	0–2	Top pick missed
27 Sept	Los Angeles Galaxy v Colorado Rapids	44% · 23% · 33%	3–2	Top pick landed
27 Sept	Nashville SC v Toronto FC	68% · 18% · 14%	2–0	Top pick landed
27 Sept	Real Salt Lake v New England Revolution	39% · 25% · 37%	3–0	Top pick landed
27 Sept	San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers	49% · 24% · 27%	3–1	Top pick landed
27 Sept	Seattle Sounders v Minnesota United	42% · 25% · 32%	3–1	Top pick landed
27 Sept	Vancouver Whitecaps v DC United	77% · 14% · 9%	3–3	Top pick missed
26 Sept	Atlanta Utd v New York City FC	34% · 26% · 40%	2–2	Top pick missed
26 Sept	CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati	35% · 25% · 40%	3–1	Top pick missed
26 Sept	Charlotte v Chicago Fire	44% · 24% · 32%	0–1	Top pick missed
26 Sept	Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC	64% · 21% · 15%	4–2	Top pick landed
24 Sept	Seattle Sounders v Real Salt Lake	53% · 24% · 23%	2–0	Top pick landed
20 Sept	Colorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders	51% · 24% · 25%	3–3	Top pick missed
20 Sept	FC Dallas v Austin FC	58% · 22% · 20%	0–0	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati	51% · 23% · 25%	2–2	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Inter Miami v San Diego FC	64% · 17% · 18%	2–2	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Minnesota United v Los Angeles Galaxy	60% · 20% · 20%	2–3	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Nashville SC v Chicago Fire	54% · 23% · 23%	3–0	Top pick landed
20 Sept	Portland Timbers v Atlanta Utd	48% · 23% · 29%	0–1	Top pick missed
20 Sept	Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps	24% · 23% · 53%	0–3	Top pick landed

25 most recent of 92

Standings · 2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	+34	60
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	+33	50
3	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	+12	47
4	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	+8	47
5	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	+14	46
6	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	+9	46
7	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	+10	45
8	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	+2	44
9	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	+9	43
10	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	+8	42
11	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	+13	41
12	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	+10	39
13	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	0	38
14	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	0	36
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	-7	36
16	Orlando City	27	10	4	13	-16	34
17	New York City	27	8	9	10	+5	33
18	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	-9	33
19	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	-17	33
20	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	0	32
21	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	-3	32
22	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	-4	32
23	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	-12	31
24	DC United	26	6	12	8	-8	30
25	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	-4	29
26	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	-9	29
27	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	-12	29
28	Atlanta Utd	27	7	6	14	-13	27
29	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	-20	24
30	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	-33	21

Model Stats — MLS 2026

All stats from current season domestic league fixtures. Click any column header to sort.

Team↕	P↕	BTTS%↓	O1.5%↕	O2.5%↕	O3.5%↕	U2.5%↕	CS%↕	FTS%↕	Avg GF↕	Avg GA↕	Avg Tot↕
Inter Miami	27	81.5%	92.6%	77.8%	63.0%	22.2%	14.8%	7.4%	2.37	1.85	4.22
Portland Timbers	27	77.8%	96.3%	74.1%	48.1%	25.9%	3.7%	18.5%	1.78	1.89	3.67
Toronto FC	27	77.8%	88.9%	66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	11.1%	18.5%	1.44	1.89	3.33
FC Cincinnati	26	76.9%	92.3%	73.1%	65.4%	26.9%	7.7%	15.4%	2.12	2.46	4.58
Los Angeles Galaxy	28	75.0%	89.3%	64.3%	28.6%	35.7%	14.3%	14.3%	1.32	1.57	2.89
Columbus Crew	27	70.4%	88.9%	70.4%	33.3%	29.6%	18.5%	14.8%	1.44	1.59	3.04
Minnesota United	27	70.4%	77.8%	63.0%	40.7%	37.0%	18.5%	18.5%	1.48	1.81	3.30
St. Louis City	27	70.4%	88.9%	55.6%	40.7%	44.4%	14.8%	14.8%	1.78	1.33	3.11
Chicago Fire	26	69.2%	84.6%	73.1%	34.6%	26.9%	26.9%	7.7%	1.77	1.46	3.23
Austin FC	27	66.7%	85.2%	66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	18.5%	22.2%	1.30	1.74	3.04
Charlotte	27	66.7%	77.8%	66.7%	40.7%	33.3%	18.5%	22.2%	1.74	1.41	3.15
New York City	27	66.7%	85.2%	51.9%	25.9%	48.1%	18.5%	18.5%	1.52	1.33	2.85
Orlando City	27	66.7%	88.9%	74.1%	55.6%	25.9%	14.8%	18.5%	1.78	2.37	4.15
Philadelphia Union	27	66.7%	81.5%	66.7%	48.1%	33.3%	22.2%	18.5%	2.00	1.63	3.63
Real Salt Lake	27	66.7%	92.6%	66.7%	29.6%	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	1.48	1.63	3.11
Atlanta Utd	27	63.0%	81.5%	59.3%	37.0%	40.7%	11.1%	33.3%	1.19	1.67	2.85
FC Dallas	27	63.0%	74.1%	66.7%	48.1%	33.3%	22.2%	25.9%	1.85	1.56	3.41
New England Revolution	27	63.0%	81.5%	70.4%	25.9%	29.6%	18.5%	22.2%	1.67	1.33	3.00
San Jose Earthquakes	27	63.0%	77.8%	59.3%	51.9%	40.7%	25.9%	14.8%	1.81	1.44	3.26
Sporting Kansas City	27	63.0%	96.3%	77.8%	44.4%	22.2%	3.7%	33.3%	1.19	2.41	3.59
DC United	26	61.5%	73.1%	57.7%	34.6%	42.3%	23.1%	30.8%	1.31	1.62	2.92
New York Red Bulls	27	59.3%	81.5%	55.6%	37.0%	44.4%	14.8%	29.6%	1.26	1.89	3.15
Seattle Sounders	27	59.3%	74.1%	44.4%	25.9%	55.6%	25.9%	22.2%	1.30	1.30	2.59
San Diego FC	27	55.6%	77.8%	66.7%	51.9%	33.3%	25.9%	18.5%	1.74	1.74	3.48
CF Montreal	27	51.9%	81.5%	63.0%	37.0%	37.0%	14.8%	37.0%	1.26	2.00	3.26
Vancouver Whitecaps	26	46.2%	80.8%	61.5%	38.5%	38.5%	42.3%	15.4%	2.27	1.00	3.27
Colorado Rapids	27	44.4%	63.0%	48.1%	33.3%	51.9%	33.3%	25.9%	1.41	1.41	2.81
Nashville SC	27	44.4%	66.7%	59.3%	40.7%	40.7%	48.1%	18.5%	2.04	0.78	2.81
Los Angeles FC	28	42.9%	67.9%	50.0%	35.7%	50.0%	46.4%	21.4%	1.54	1.07	2.61
Houston Dynamo	27	37.0%	63.0%	37.0%	18.5%	63.0%	40.7%	29.6%	1.26	1.19	2.44
League avg	—	62.9%	81.7%	62.9%	39.4%	37.1%	21.0%	21.0%	—	—	3.22