Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 21.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Real Salt Lake
24%
Draw
23%
Vancouver Whitecaps
53%
pick · result
Final score
0–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Vancouver Whitecaps win 53.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Vancouver Whitecaps win. Expected goals 1.25–1.93 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.5%), 1–2 (10.0%), 0–2 (7.8%). It finished 0–3.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Real Salt Lake
| 22 Feb | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Austin FC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs San Diego FC | 2–2 | D |
Vancouver Whitecaps
| 22 Feb | H | vs Real Salt Lake | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Toronto FC | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Portland Timbers | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Minnesota United | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Real Salt Lake (Home · 16 matches) | Vancouver Whitecaps (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 56.2% | 56.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 68.8% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 31.2% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.88 |
Home stats use Real Salt Lake's home record; away stats use Vancouver Whitecaps's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.