GW6 projected points
1.9
202nd of 320
Start probability
50%
Next fixture
Haul probability
3%
10+ points
Blank risk
76%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.9
90th percentile
6
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Fulham
10 Oct
Man City
17 Oct
Nott'm Forest
23 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £4.0m
- Ownership
- 1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.49
- Rank · defenders
- 72nd of 112
- Clean sheet probability
- 27%
Read the model’s player summary
Jacob Greaves (Ipswich Town, Defender, £4.0m) is projected 1.9 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 202nd of 320 projected players and 72nd of 112 defenders.
The model gives Greaves a 50% chance of starting, more likely benched than starting. Haul odds (10+ points) are 3% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 76%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-6 points.
Ipswich Town keep a clean sheet in 27% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Fulham (H) in GW6 (1.9 xP), then Man City (A) in GW7 (1.0 xP), then Nott'm Forest (H) in GW8 (1.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.4 | 1▼-1.4 | 90 | 97% | 0–6 |
| GW4 | 2.8 | 1▼-1.8 | 87 | 97% | 0–6 |
| GW5 | 2.7 | 0▼-2.7 | 0 | 97% | 0–6 |
| GW6 | 1.9latest | pending | — | 50% | 0–6 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
1.9
GW7
1.0
GW8
1.9
GW9
1.7
GW10
1.7
GW11
1.7
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.