GW7 projected points
1.5
208th of 320
Start probability
93%
Next fixture
Haul probability
1%
10+ points
Blank risk
82%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.5
90th percentile
4
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Man City
17 Oct
Nott'm Forest
23 Oct
Hull City
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £4.0m
- Ownership
- 12%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.37
- Rank · defenders
- 76th of 114
- Clean sheet probability
- 5%
Read the model’s player summary
Issa Diop (Ipswich Town, Defender, £4.0m) is projected 1.5 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 208th of 320 projected players and 76th of 114 defenders.
The model gives Diop a 93% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 1% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 82%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-4 points.
Ipswich Town keep a clean sheet in 5% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Man City (A) in GW7 (1.5 xP), then Nott'm Forest (H) in GW8 (3.0 xP), then Hull City (A) in GW9 (2.8 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.0 | 3▲+1.0 | 90 | 91% | 0–6 |
| GW4 | 2.6 | 1▼-1.6 | 90 | 92% | 0–6 |
| GW5 | 2.6 | 4▲+1.4 | 90 | 94% | 0–6 |
| GW6 | 3.2 | pending | — | 94% | 0–8 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
1.5
GW8
3.0
GW9
2.8
GW10
2.7
GW11
2.7
GW12
2.8
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.