GW6 projected points
1.0
237th of 320
Start probability
7%
Next fixture
Haul probability
2%
10+ points
Blank risk
91%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.0
90th percentile
2
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Nott'm Forest
11 Oct
Brighton
18 Oct
Newcastle
25 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £6.2m
- Ownership
- 0.6%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.17
- Rank · midfielders
- 107th of 138
Read the model’s player summary
Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace, Midfielder, £6.2m) is projected 1.0 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 237th of 320 projected players and 107th of 138 midfielders.
The model gives Sarr a 7% chance of starting, unlikely to start. Haul odds (10+ points) are 2% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 91%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-2 points.
Next up: Nott'm Forest (H) in GW6 (1.0 xP), then Brighton (A) in GW7 (0.9 xP), then Newcastle (H) in GW8 (1.0 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW4 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW5 | 0.1 | 1▲+0.9 | 8 | 1% | 0–0 |
| GW6 | 1.0latest | pending | — | 7% | 0–2 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
1.0
GW7
0.9
GW8
1.0
GW9
1.0
GW10
0.9
GW11
1.0
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.