GW11 projected points
1.9
203rd of 320
Start probability
52%
Next fixture
Haul probability
2%
10+ points
Blank risk
78%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.9
90th percentile
4
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Crystal Palace
21 Nov
Leeds
28 Nov
Ipswich Town
1 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £4.8m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.39
- Rank · midfielders
- 87th of 135
Read the model’s player summary
Matt Grimes (Coventry City, Midfielder, £4.8m) is projected 1.9 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 203rd of 320 projected players and 87th of 135 midfielders.
The model gives Grimes a 52% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 2% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 78%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-4 points.
Next up: Crystal Palace (H) in GW11 (1.9 xP), then Leeds (A) in GW12 (1.7 xP), then Ipswich Town (H) in GW13 (1.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.6 | 2▼-0.6 | 90 | 96% | 1–5 |
| GW4 | 3.0 | 2▼-1.0 | 83 | 96% | 1–6 |
| GW5 | 3.1 | 3▼-0.1 | 90 | 97% | 1–7 |
| GW6 | 3.2 | 2▼-1.2 | 82 | 95% | 1–7 |
| GW7 | 2.8 | 2▼-0.8 | 90 | 95% | 1–5 |
| GW8 | 2.8 | 2▼-0.8 | 90 | 98% | 1–5 |
| GW9 | 2.8 | 1▼-1.8 | 7 | 97% | 1–5 |
| GW10 | 1.8 | pending | — | 54% | 0–3 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
1.9
GW12
1.7
GW13
1.9
GW14
1.6
GW15
1.8
GW16
1.6
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 07 Nov · 06:03 UTC.