GW6 projected points
3.6
72nd of 320
Start probability
84%
Next fixture
Haul probability
7%
10+ points
Blank risk
50%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
3.6
90th percentile
8
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Ipswich Town
10 Oct
Hull City
17 Oct
Coventry City
24 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.0m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.72
- Rank · midfielders
- 37th of 138
Read the model’s player summary
Shea Charles (Fulham, Midfielder, £5.0m) is projected 3.6 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 72nd of 320 projected players and 37th of 138 midfielders.
The model gives Charles a 84% chance of starting, a probable starter. Haul odds (10+ points) are 7% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 50%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-8 points.
Next up: Ipswich Town (A) in GW6 (3.6 xP), then Hull City (H) in GW7 (3.8 xP), then Coventry City (A) in GW8 (3.7 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW4 | 2.1 | 5▲+2.9 | 90 | 56% | 0–5 |
| GW5 | 3.0 | 4▲+1.0 | 90 | 76% | 0–7 |
| GW6 | 3.6latest | pending | — | 84% | 1–8 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
3.6
GW7
3.8
GW8
3.7
GW9
3.3
GW10
3.7
GW11
3.0
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.